Obama's Black Approval in Jersey is Slipping

All mentioned polls are from The Quinnipiac University Poll.

Candidate Barack Obama won the State of New Jersey with 97% of the Black vote, while just 3% of Black voters supported another candidate (according to a October 21, 2008 poll); those results should not be surprising to anyone - considering 95% of Black Americans supported the Obama campaign nationwide, while just 4% supported the McCain campaign.

However, according to some recent data from the State of New Jersey (which has a Republican Governor today), Obama's most supportive base during the 2008 Presidential Election, doesn't support him like they use to in October of 2008, and in fact, oppose him by record numbers.

RELATED: Obama Illinois State Senate records exposed.

Approve/Disapprove by New Jersey Black Voters:

February 5, 2009 - 91% approve, 3% disapprove.
April 22, 2009 - 97% approve, 1% disapprove.
June 10, 2009 - 97% approve, 1% disapprove.
July 12, 2009 - 86% approve, 7% disapprove.
Nov. 24, 2009 - 93% approve, 3% disapprove.
January 20, 2010 - 89% approve, 7% disapprove.
June 17, 2010 - 80% approve, 14% disapprove.

President Obama received the vote of 97% of Black Jersey Voters in November of 2008, but he's now lost close to 20% of those voters by June of 2010, and that is without a serious problem on either side with one another, unless of course you're talking about ideology.

Americans are becoming more Conservative in this Nation - regardless of race, sex, or economic class. And I believe the above mentioned approval/disapproval numbers speak volumes to that assumption, especially since three dozen Black politicos were or are running for the Republican Nomination in numerous districts across America: unheard of since the late 1800's.

New Jersey elected the first Conservative Governor during the Obama Administration (thanks in part to the Obama Effect), could it also be the State that first detects the Conservative shift in Black Americans? We shall see in the coming months, and years, but I think the answer to that question is - yes.

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Just 22% of Americans are "straight line" voters.

When Glenn Beck, a well known Libertarian radio and television talk show host, described the voting patterns of America as 15% beholden to Republicans, 15% beholden to Democrats, and 70% open to other candidates, he was deadwrong. To be honest, those numbers touted by Glenn Beck are too generous, according to a recent poll.

The April 2010 Battleground Poll asked 1,000 registered voters a series of political, religious and ideological questions. One of which dealt with voting patterns, and which party had the voters supported during recent elections.

The results are interesting:

Straight GOP - 10%.
Mostly GOP - 21%.
More GOP than DEM - 12%.
Independent/the person - 5%.
More DEM than GOP - 11%.
Mostly DEM - 24%.
Straight DEM - 12%.
Unsure/Refused - 6%.

Just 22% of American voters are strictly beholden to either political party, and 23% of voters favor their "perspective" party by a relative "more than" margin. Considering our polarized political system, it's hard to imagine that 67% of admitted American voters have supported candidates from either party.

This doesn't mean that the perfect candidate (if there ever was such a thing) could receive 75% plus of the nationwide vote, but it does explain why some Northern Republicans and Southern Democrats can win by substantial margins. In a state like New York or even Tennessee, the voters are not afraid of electing "moderates" from the traditionally opposite party.

Though irrelevant on a national scale, it does confirm Glenn Beck's point that most Americans are not "down the party line" voters or individuals, unlike me and 22% of the electoral populace.

Further more, when "Independent" and "unknown/refused" voters are removed from the equation, 48% of voters have a pattern of somewhat supporting Republicans, while 52% of voters have a pattern of somewhat supporting Democrats. Leaving America with 5 to 11% of the electoral populace who hold ultimate power come election day, confirming Karl Rove's estimation of "Independent" voters.

Thoughts?

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