Alabama doesn't change.

I knew there was a reason I've always wanted to visit Alabama, and I believe that reason has been found - their consistent Conservatives who do not ever change. According to a new Rasmussen Reports poll, nearly the exact same amount of Alabama voters feel the same way now in 2010, than they did in 2008 about President Barack Obama.

2008 US Presidential Election:

McCain - 60.32%
Obama - 38.74%
Others - 01.96%

2010 US Presidential approval:

Disapprove - 60%
Approve - 39%
Not Sure - 2%

In a world that is lacking consistency, Alabama could teach us all a thing or two. Also, according to that same poll, Senator Shelby will be reelected with relative ease in November, and close to 70% of the state's voting population favor a complete repeal of Obamacare, while 26% don't and 5% are unsure.

Thoughts?

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Obama's Black Approval in Jersey is Slipping

All mentioned polls are from The Quinnipiac University Poll.

Candidate Barack Obama won the State of New Jersey with 97% of the Black vote, while just 3% of Black voters supported another candidate (according to a October 21, 2008 poll); those results should not be surprising to anyone - considering 95% of Black Americans supported the Obama campaign nationwide, while just 4% supported the McCain campaign.

However, according to some recent data from the State of New Jersey (which has a Republican Governor today), Obama's most supportive base during the 2008 Presidential Election, doesn't support him like they use to in October of 2008, and in fact, oppose him by record numbers.

RELATED: Obama Illinois State Senate records exposed.

Approve/Disapprove by New Jersey Black Voters:

February 5, 2009 - 91% approve, 3% disapprove.
April 22, 2009 - 97% approve, 1% disapprove.
June 10, 2009 - 97% approve, 1% disapprove.
July 12, 2009 - 86% approve, 7% disapprove.
Nov. 24, 2009 - 93% approve, 3% disapprove.
January 20, 2010 - 89% approve, 7% disapprove.
June 17, 2010 - 80% approve, 14% disapprove.

President Obama received the vote of 97% of Black Jersey Voters in November of 2008, but he's now lost close to 20% of those voters by June of 2010, and that is without a serious problem on either side with one another, unless of course you're talking about ideology.

Americans are becoming more Conservative in this Nation - regardless of race, sex, or economic class. And I believe the above mentioned approval/disapproval numbers speak volumes to that assumption, especially since three dozen Black politicos were or are running for the Republican Nomination in numerous districts across America: unheard of since the late 1800's.

New Jersey elected the first Conservative Governor during the Obama Administration (thanks in part to the Obama Effect), could it also be the State that first detects the Conservative shift in Black Americans? We shall see in the coming months, and years, but I think the answer to that question is - yes.

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Is Obama screwed for 2012?

The 2008 United States Presidential Election went like this:

Florida

Obama - 4,282,074 - 50.92% - 27 Electoral Votes.
McCain - 4,045,624 - 48.10% - 0 Electoral Votes.

A recent June 2010 Quinnipiac Poll sampling of 1,133 Floridians:

Obama Job Performance

Disapprove - 54% - 91% of GOP, 50% of Ind, and 14% of Dem.
Approve - 40% - 81% of Dem, 43% of Ind, and 6% of GOP.

President Barack Obama won Florida with a cushion of just 236,000 votes, or by a margin of 1.8 percentage points. And now a recent poll from a respectable polling firm has his numbers in one of the most important states at 40%. For someone who faces the voters again in 29 months; a 40% approval rating is a bad sign of worse things to come.

Imagine if these polling numbers reflect voters from across the Nation? Obama won the state of North Carolina by 14,000 votes; the state of Indiana by 29,000 votes; the state of Nevada by 120,000 votes; the state of Iowa by 140,000 voters; the state of Virginia by 230,00 votes; the state of Ohio by 260,000 votes; and he lost in Missouri by only 4,000 votes.

Losing 10% support in all of the above mentioned states would cause such a overturn of voters that it might not matter who Republicans select to be their Presidential nominee; just as long as a Republican is on the ballot. Period.

Memo to all perspective candidates for the Republican Nomination: All you need to do to win the 2012 Presidential Election is to flip about 1,056,000 votes in the seven above mentioned states, which in turn will result in 98 Electoral Votes going into our column, leaving us the victors in 2012.

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The difference between Gov. Parnell and Gov. Palin.

Governor Sean Parnell is soaring above the clouds in Alaska: 70% of Alaskans approve of his job performance, he's leading all three of his potential Democratic opponents in Alaska's upcoming Gubernatorial election by 28% or more, and his popularity can only further his political career; Congressman Don Young must retire, eventually.

What about Governor Sarah Palin? Her agenda and Sean Parnell's agenda is one of the same and how are the voters of Alaska reacting to Sarah Palin's role as a national political commentator. It pains me to write this, but the voters of Alaska, who once elected Sarah Palin as their Governor, no longer approve or support her.

Only 41% of Alaska voters would support her for President, if she ran, and even worse; 50% of Alaska voters share an unfavorable viewpoint of the former Governor, who resigned from office last July.

This doesn't represent a dramatic political shift in Alaska, considering another Republican; Sean Parnell, is soaring high with the birds, and that President Obama's approval rating in Alaska is hovering around 40% ( 61% of Alaskans atleast somewhat disapprove of President Obama's job performance).

What's the difference between the two Governor's?

One is in the National spotlight and the other is in Juneau. Could it be that simple, are Alaskans annoyed at Governor Palin for leaving them last Summer, are Alaskans aggravated that she has become a negative symbol of their great state? I really don't know, but I do know this: Alaskan Republicans, Independents and even some Democrats support a Conservative agenda in their state, just not Sarah Palin.

What say you; is the Sarah Palin brand suffering from being such a polarizing brand, or is the Sarah Palin brand downfall the result of quitting as Governor last Summer, which angered and confused Americans statewide and nationwide?

All polling numbers are from Rasmussen Reports; a Conservative polling organization.

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Christie has gained 4.5% support in New Jersey.

Chris Christie is being called the "Jersey Reagan" by some, the "Trenton Thunder" by others, but by all positive accounts Chris Christie is doing what Garden State Governors have neglected to do for years upon years: Cut spending. Cut government. Cut unions.

There are no sacred cows in the Garden State anymore, all public officials ranging from overpaid teachers to overpaid police officers are facing the "devourer" of spending. Christie doesn't care about your race, position, creed, position, affiliation, instead he cares about the future of New Jersey, which is bleak unless serious and drastic cuts of government are made.

Conservatives are cheering on Chris Christie from around the Nation, as he could be the example for all Red Republicans in Blue States across the land, but our outsider opinion means nothing, of course it will if Christie ever runs for President, but I'm interested in what the local New Jersey citizens are thinking.

Chris Christie was elected with 48.5% of the vote last November, compared to 44.9% of the vote for his Democratic opponent, and 5.8% for an Independent candidate who failed in his attempt to screw over Christie's electoral chances. Now, according to a recent poll from Rasmussen Reports Christie is enjoying a 53% approval rating, compared to 45% who disapprove of his job, thus far into his first term.

Those approval ratings are not stunning, but the overall reaction to his spending and union cuts have been overwhelmingly positive, regardless of political affiliation. It's true that Democrats will never approve of Christie as a politician or as a Governor, but a lot of them are approving of his policies.

In the end, Christie has gained 4.5% support in New Jersey over the course of six months, even with all of the policies he has been enacting on a regular basis. It's true his approval rating has fallen from "historic highs" of 57% before he was sworn in as Governor, but I also remember the President once enjoyed 70% approval ratings...........

Christie has survived his first three months as Governor (memo to unions - Thanks for not killing Chris Christie) of New Jersey with accomplishments across the board, but we'll see in three years whether or not the voters really approve of his accomplishments. Until then, CUT! BABY! CUT!

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It's About Time: Obama Approval Under Disapproval on RCP

Real Clear Politics, or RCP for short, is a news site that averages approval/disapproval polls together, forming a very non-partisan system. For the last year and change, I have closely watched the approval of the President. Slowly but surely, it kept going lower and lower and lower.

The President was at his peak on January 29, 2009 with an approval of 63.5 and a disapproval of only 19.3, a 44.2% difference. From the beginning of March to the end of June, Obama's approval/disapproval held moderately steady. But then it happened. The President began calling for radical reforms to the American Health Care System. While reform is needed, this "change" that the President was peddling did not sit well with the American people.

On July 1, the President's approval was 59.5 with his disapproval at only 34, a difference of 25.5%. By July 24, little over three weeks, his approval had dived to 54.7, his disapproval at 41.3, a difference of 13.4%, a 12.1% difference from earlier that month. By the end of August, Obama's approval was at 51.2, with a disapproval of 42.4.

October saw an uptick in the President's approval, as he seemed to be mentioning Health Care less as he began to campaign in New Jersey and Virginia. But oh, how he failed in his campaigns there. After October, his approval rating never recovered.

January saw a huge decrease in the President's rating, with the difference between approval and disapproval falling to less than 5%. That month, Scott Brown upset the once-heavily favored Martha Coakley. Once again, the President campaigned for his choice, and once again they went down in flames. Coackley and Obama were brought down by his health care bill.

During February and most of March, there have been back and forth poll numbers, with Obama coming ever-so-close to be disapproved more than approved. But today is the day that it finally happened. Today is the day that Obama's approval sits at 47.3 and his disapproval sits at 47.8, or negative .5%.

Looking further into the polls, however, reveals something more startling. The three most recent polls, Fox News, Gallup, and Rasmussen, have the President's approval spread at -2%, -2%, and -10% respectively. An AP poll is also factored into RCP's latest average; yet the AP poll is the oldest one in the average and has the President at +7%. This means that it is possible that President Obama's approval/disapproval is skewed upwards.

Will the President's approval see an uptick, or will it continue its decline? I think I'll do anarticle on that some other time.

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Guess Who's Less Popular than Bush?

For all of the talk about Obama being a very popular President, it appears that the message is off track. With Obama's job approval rating tanking due to the health care message flailing, we must inevitably compare him to his predecessor. And when we take a look at the 'much hated' George W. Bush we find something very, very peculiar.

Obama is well behind.

When you take a look at the Real Clear Politics approval index, he trails the former President by thirteen points. Reminds me of a post that Tim wrote. Considering that Bush was elected with less than 50% of the vote in a contested election, this should be a shot across the bow for the Obama Administration. It reveals some of their limitations.

1. Obama drives up the 'strongly disapprove' column. He's been angering many on the right and center, driving up the deficit and calling for more state control. Bush's policies early in his adminstration painted him towards the center, including No Child Left Behind and approval stem cell funding.

2. Obama is hanging on to his image. Rather than actually building an effective policy resume, Obama is simply just seen as a caricature of a President. The pop culture image of him being 'cool' still permeates, and he might have to hold onto the approval of 18-29 year olds for any sort of sanctuary.

Obama's in trouble. We'll see how much in a few months.

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Obama so popular? Not really.

Rasmussen polls are the most accurate in nearly every survey I see them release, but today I will be focusing on Gallup.

Gallup reports Obama has a 56% approval rating among Americans, although they attempt to portray him as popular. However, as Judith Kinghoffer displays at History News Network, Obama's approval ratings are actually below average for most of our past Presidents:

Obama - 56%
Bush #43 - 62%
Clinton - 55% (only President that does worse than Obama).
Bush #41 - 58%
Reagan - 67%
Carter - 63%
Ford - no numbers, he was never elected.
Nixon - 61%.

Hmm, interesting? May I also add, that all of these poll results are from past Gallup polls.

Could it be, that the media is covering for Obama at his every call? Yes, I believe that is the case.

History News Network article - http://hnn.us/blogs/entries/79295.html

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Obama Approval Falls to 49%

President Obama's approval rating has fallen below 50%, according to one Zogby poll. This is below the 53% that he received in the 2008 elections and represents a watershed moment in his Presidency.

Americans appear to be losing faith in the President's handle of the American government. As an executive, Obama has shown some initiative but very little command. He has been unable to adequately corral his vast majorities in Congress to his advantage. While the stimulus bill was passed, little else of his Congressional agenda seems to be going forward.

Other than that, the President has done some unpopular things, like consider bringing Guantanamo terrorists to the US or releasing them, providing foreign money for abortions, and restricting oil drilling. The President received a mandate, but seems to be squandering it in a partisan, strong-armed fashion.

This was not the bipartisanship he promised, and in fact, is very far from it. He needs to correct or face a Jindal presidency in 2013.


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Obama Approval Below 60%

Coming in with high ratings from the American people with the transition to the 44th Presidency, Barack Obama's star has fallen-- just a little bit.

Cruising in the public relations game with over 60% approval ratings for his first month in office, Gallup is reporting that President Obama's approval has fallen below that benchmark. While still over the all-important 50%, it may be a sign that the American public is beginning to become a little more uneasy with his initiatives.

Case study #1: President Obama states that he wants to slash the federal deficit by two-thirds. Instead, we're spending almost $2 trillion dollars since the beginning of 2008. While Obama wasn't President then, he was in the forefront on both previous stimulus/bailout bills. These debts are enormous considering our economy barely makes over $12 trillion a year.

Case study #2: The economy keeps falling. Despite all of the sweet talk and "brace for impact" by the government, the Dow is approaching 7,000. Unemployment will probably pick up more and we may be looking at 11% soon. The federal government could give hundreds of thousands of public works jobs in months. Still, no signs of that.

Case study #3: Gas prices are rising again. While they've been falling on the market lately, gas at the pump is up almost 10% since the President took office. The economy's been faltering, which should drive down prices. However, is this tied to the restriction of drilling signed by the President?

So where will the President's approval ratings be in a year? We'll find out, I guess.

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Obama approval sinks.

The Obama honeymoon is over.

His approval rating is now at 55%, support for the idiotic stimulus package is dropping every day, and even some in the Media are starting to question this stimulus bullcrap package (very few).

His honeymoon is over, Americans know this stimulus package is nothing more then wasteful spending, none of this will help the economy, and it will increase the size of government.

No dice, the Republicans have had enough, America has had enough, and Obama's popularity is falling quicker then any other Presidents in American history.

Palin 2012.


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Obama Approval at 63%

President Obama's newest approval ratings are in from Hotline.

And they're at 63%.

Not bad considering it's his first week. Now let's see what happens when he actually does something.

Obama's Approval at 68%

President Barack Obama has gotten his first approval rating since taking office on Tuesday. So the results: 68%.

The Gallup Poll on Saturday released the first job-approval rating for President Obama, based on interviews during his first three full days in office: 68 percent.

Now that he’s in office, Obama’s approval ratings are starting to normalize, as partisan back-and-forth picks up. Just a week ago, Gallup found an astonishing 83 percent approval of how he has handled his transition, showing he had even won over most Republicans.

The new job-approval figure puts him at the upper end of opening poll numbers for presidents, but doesn’t set a record.

Gallup’s initial job approval ratings were President John F. Kennedy, 72 percent; Dwight Eisenhower, 68 percent; Jimmy Carter, 66 percent; Richard Nixon, 59 percent; George W. Bush, 57 percent; and Ronald Regan and George H.W. Bush, 51 percent.

Obama Approval at 58%

Americans have rated the incoming President with a 58% approval rating for what he's been doing during the transition.

In a way, I'm with the majority. President-Elect Obama appears to be attempting to continue some of Bush's policies and may even consider an attack on Iran. While the effects of that decision may be terrible, it's good that he realizes that the military option is an option.

Other than that, he's been talking about the economy, proposing a trillion dollar surplus. While this may not be the best plan, he's at least attempting to be proactive. He may need to rethink the plan, though.