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Showing posts with label New Jersey. Show all posts
Showing posts with label New Jersey. Show all posts
Tuesday, September 7, 2010
Thursday, June 17, 2010
Obama's Black Approval in Jersey is Slipping
All mentioned polls are from The Quinnipiac University Poll.
Candidate Barack Obama won the State of New Jersey with 97% of the Black vote, while just 3% of Black voters supported another candidate (according to a October 21, 2008 poll); those results should not be surprising to anyone - considering 95% of Black Americans supported the Obama campaign nationwide, while just 4% supported the McCain campaign.
However, according to some recent data from the State of New Jersey (which has a Republican Governor today), Obama's most supportive base during the 2008 Presidential Election, doesn't support him like they use to in October of 2008, and in fact, oppose him by record numbers.
RELATED: Obama Illinois State Senate records exposed.
Approve/Disapprove by New Jersey Black Voters:
February 5, 2009 - 91% approve, 3% disapprove.
April 22, 2009 - 97% approve, 1% disapprove.
June 10, 2009 - 97% approve, 1% disapprove.
July 12, 2009 - 86% approve, 7% disapprove.
Nov. 24, 2009 - 93% approve, 3% disapprove.
January 20, 2010 - 89% approve, 7% disapprove.
June 17, 2010 - 80% approve, 14% disapprove.
President Obama received the vote of 97% of Black Jersey Voters in November of 2008, but he's now lost close to 20% of those voters by June of 2010, and that is without a serious problem on either side with one another, unless of course you're talking about ideology.
Americans are becoming more Conservative in this Nation - regardless of race, sex, or economic class. And I believe the above mentioned approval/disapproval numbers speak volumes to that assumption, especially since three dozen Black politicos were or are running for the Republican Nomination in numerous districts across America: unheard of since the late 1800's.
New Jersey elected the first Conservative Governor during the Obama Administration (thanks in part to the Obama Effect), could it also be the State that first detects the Conservative shift in Black Americans? We shall see in the coming months, and years, but I think the answer to that question is - yes.
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Candidate Barack Obama won the State of New Jersey with 97% of the Black vote, while just 3% of Black voters supported another candidate (according to a October 21, 2008 poll); those results should not be surprising to anyone - considering 95% of Black Americans supported the Obama campaign nationwide, while just 4% supported the McCain campaign.
However, according to some recent data from the State of New Jersey (which has a Republican Governor today), Obama's most supportive base during the 2008 Presidential Election, doesn't support him like they use to in October of 2008, and in fact, oppose him by record numbers.
RELATED: Obama Illinois State Senate records exposed.
Approve/Disapprove by New Jersey Black Voters:
February 5, 2009 - 91% approve, 3% disapprove.
April 22, 2009 - 97% approve, 1% disapprove.
June 10, 2009 - 97% approve, 1% disapprove.
July 12, 2009 - 86% approve, 7% disapprove.
Nov. 24, 2009 - 93% approve, 3% disapprove.
January 20, 2010 - 89% approve, 7% disapprove.
June 17, 2010 - 80% approve, 14% disapprove.
President Obama received the vote of 97% of Black Jersey Voters in November of 2008, but he's now lost close to 20% of those voters by June of 2010, and that is without a serious problem on either side with one another, unless of course you're talking about ideology.
Americans are becoming more Conservative in this Nation - regardless of race, sex, or economic class. And I believe the above mentioned approval/disapproval numbers speak volumes to that assumption, especially since three dozen Black politicos were or are running for the Republican Nomination in numerous districts across America: unheard of since the late 1800's.
New Jersey elected the first Conservative Governor during the Obama Administration (thanks in part to the Obama Effect), could it also be the State that first detects the Conservative shift in Black Americans? We shall see in the coming months, and years, but I think the answer to that question is - yes.
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Christie Has 44% Approval in NJ
New Jersey governor Chris Christie, who is attempting to clean up the horrible mess that his state is in, is cutting the budget while refusing to raise taxes. He's received cheers from many conservative and prayers for his death from at least one teacher's union. Jerseyans are split on how he's doing:
Notice the male-female split. This would probably hurt him in the general election considering more women usually vote. He's doing an excellent job but the people there are too used to their bloated public union corruption and nanny-state bullshit.
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Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk Approve 44% 75% 18% 50% 53% 36% 54% 15% Disapprove 43 14 67 40 36 50 35 77 DK/NA 12 11 14 11 11 13 11 8
Notice the male-female split. This would probably hurt him in the general election considering more women usually vote. He's doing an excellent job but the people there are too used to their bloated public union corruption and nanny-state bullshit.
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Wednesday, May 26, 2010
Christie 2016?
As a proud citizen of New York State; and to a lesser extent the North East, the political arena is downright depressing for a Conservative Republican, and there is little to be pleased or enthused about. But there is this one man named Christie, who one day could become the 44th President of the United States.
Governor Christie to be exact.
While New York legislators are considering another tax hike here and there, the Massachusetts Governor is accusing Republicans of sedition, Connecticut legislators are playing online poker and Rhode Island's legislative leaders are refusing to enforce illegal immigration laws, New Jersey's highly successful newcomer Governor is saving his State from economic ruin.
Governor Chris Christie has declared that a "state of fiscal emergency exists in the State of New Jersey", has slashed government spending across the board, has freezed the New Jersey budget in several departments, has fought against the teachers union, union pensions, and certain folks who carry the unions water in the legislature.
What's not to love? Christie is a Conservative Republican Governor who governs as he promised to, and no-one escapes the wrath of Christie; whether you be a legislator, teacher or a reporter, I promise you no mercy will be given.
That's why members of the Conservative Blogosphere are thinking about a possible Christie run for President in 2016, or even 2012. While suspicion over a 2012 Presidential run is childish and downright stupid; someone with more than three years experience must be nominated (do we really want another Obama?), 2016 looks plausible, and actually exciting.
Think about it: Governor Chris Christie, the successful two term Executive from the once awful economic state of New Jersey, prepared to lead on day one, and prepared to veto on day two. It would win Republicans the White House back with 55% of the vote. Not only that, but perhaps we could win a North Eastern state or two in the process.
For now the Governor and all of his supporters (myself included) should focus on Mr.Christie's job of turning New Jersey around, and after a few more successful years, than we should think about 2016, and turning around America, hopefully before all possible hope of turning around America is gone.
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Governor Christie to be exact.
While New York legislators are considering another tax hike here and there, the Massachusetts Governor is accusing Republicans of sedition, Connecticut legislators are playing online poker and Rhode Island's legislative leaders are refusing to enforce illegal immigration laws, New Jersey's highly successful newcomer Governor is saving his State from economic ruin.
Governor Chris Christie has declared that a "state of fiscal emergency exists in the State of New Jersey", has slashed government spending across the board, has freezed the New Jersey budget in several departments, has fought against the teachers union, union pensions, and certain folks who carry the unions water in the legislature.
What's not to love? Christie is a Conservative Republican Governor who governs as he promised to, and no-one escapes the wrath of Christie; whether you be a legislator, teacher or a reporter, I promise you no mercy will be given.
That's why members of the Conservative Blogosphere are thinking about a possible Christie run for President in 2016, or even 2012. While suspicion over a 2012 Presidential run is childish and downright stupid; someone with more than three years experience must be nominated (do we really want another Obama?), 2016 looks plausible, and actually exciting.
Think about it: Governor Chris Christie, the successful two term Executive from the once awful economic state of New Jersey, prepared to lead on day one, and prepared to veto on day two. It would win Republicans the White House back with 55% of the vote. Not only that, but perhaps we could win a North Eastern state or two in the process.
For now the Governor and all of his supporters (myself included) should focus on Mr.Christie's job of turning New Jersey around, and after a few more successful years, than we should think about 2016, and turning around America, hopefully before all possible hope of turning around America is gone.
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Saturday, April 24, 2010
Christie has gained 4.5% support in New Jersey.
Chris Christie is being called the "Jersey Reagan" by some, the "Trenton Thunder" by others, but by all positive accounts Chris Christie is doing what Garden State Governors have neglected to do for years upon years: Cut spending. Cut government. Cut unions.
There are no sacred cows in the Garden State anymore, all public officials ranging from overpaid teachers to overpaid police officers are facing the "devourer" of spending. Christie doesn't care about your race, position, creed, position, affiliation, instead he cares about the future of New Jersey, which is bleak unless serious and drastic cuts of government are made.
Conservatives are cheering on Chris Christie from around the Nation, as he could be the example for all Red Republicans in Blue States across the land, but our outsider opinion means nothing, of course it will if Christie ever runs for President, but I'm interested in what the local New Jersey citizens are thinking.
Chris Christie was elected with 48.5% of the vote last November, compared to 44.9% of the vote for his Democratic opponent, and 5.8% for an Independent candidate who failed in his attempt to screw over Christie's electoral chances. Now, according to a recent poll from Rasmussen Reports Christie is enjoying a 53% approval rating, compared to 45% who disapprove of his job, thus far into his first term.
Those approval ratings are not stunning, but the overall reaction to his spending and union cuts have been overwhelmingly positive, regardless of political affiliation. It's true that Democrats will never approve of Christie as a politician or as a Governor, but a lot of them are approving of his policies.
In the end, Christie has gained 4.5% support in New Jersey over the course of six months, even with all of the policies he has been enacting on a regular basis. It's true his approval rating has fallen from "historic highs" of 57% before he was sworn in as Governor, but I also remember the President once enjoyed 70% approval ratings...........
Christie has survived his first three months as Governor (memo to unions - Thanks for not killing Chris Christie) of New Jersey with accomplishments across the board, but we'll see in three years whether or not the voters really approve of his accomplishments. Until then, CUT! BABY! CUT!
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There are no sacred cows in the Garden State anymore, all public officials ranging from overpaid teachers to overpaid police officers are facing the "devourer" of spending. Christie doesn't care about your race, position, creed, position, affiliation, instead he cares about the future of New Jersey, which is bleak unless serious and drastic cuts of government are made.
Conservatives are cheering on Chris Christie from around the Nation, as he could be the example for all Red Republicans in Blue States across the land, but our outsider opinion means nothing, of course it will if Christie ever runs for President, but I'm interested in what the local New Jersey citizens are thinking.
Chris Christie was elected with 48.5% of the vote last November, compared to 44.9% of the vote for his Democratic opponent, and 5.8% for an Independent candidate who failed in his attempt to screw over Christie's electoral chances. Now, according to a recent poll from Rasmussen Reports Christie is enjoying a 53% approval rating, compared to 45% who disapprove of his job, thus far into his first term.
Those approval ratings are not stunning, but the overall reaction to his spending and union cuts have been overwhelmingly positive, regardless of political affiliation. It's true that Democrats will never approve of Christie as a politician or as a Governor, but a lot of them are approving of his policies.
In the end, Christie has gained 4.5% support in New Jersey over the course of six months, even with all of the policies he has been enacting on a regular basis. It's true his approval rating has fallen from "historic highs" of 57% before he was sworn in as Governor, but I also remember the President once enjoyed 70% approval ratings...........
Christie has survived his first three months as Governor (memo to unions - Thanks for not killing Chris Christie) of New Jersey with accomplishments across the board, but we'll see in three years whether or not the voters really approve of his accomplishments. Until then, CUT! BABY! CUT!
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Monday, March 15, 2010
Interview with RoseAnn Salanitri of Recall NJ.
RoseAnn Salanitri is with Recall NJ, an organization that is attempting to force a electoral recall of Senator Menendez to face the voters in a special election. I believe this movement will fail and that their "recall" efforts are unconstitutional, however, Ms.Salanitri does have some interesting opinions, and she has a chance to defend herself from liberal smears of being a "racist" against the targeted Senator. This is interview number 64 in our series.
www.recallnj.com
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www.recallnj.com
Tim Knight - Ms.Salanitri, what is the purpose of Recall New Jersey?
RoseAnn Salanitri - The purpose of Recall NJ is rather simple. It is exactly as it implies. It is a 527 corporation we are forming to facilitate the campaign to recall Senator Robert Menendez.
Tim Knight - Ms.Salanitri, how did you come apart of this movement?
RoseAnn Salanitri - Last year I became more than concerned about the course our country was taking - a course that I believed was leading us into bankruptcy and in the process destroying our Constitution along with our liberties. Around that time I received an email request asking if I would be willing to organize a rally in my county to protest what was happening. I agreed.
Our first rally here in Sussex County was held on April 15, 2009. At this rally, many of us discovered that others shared our concerns. At that rally, I made a promise to those in attendance, a promise that I did not take lightly, that I would find a way to channel our protest into something more than a rally where we all did a lot of protesting and went home and that was the end of it. This promise set me on a course of activism.
With a developing database of concerned citizens, I began campaigns directed toward stopping things like Cap and Trade and Healthcare. To my dismay, our elected officials cared little about what our concerned citizens thought or believed - in my eyes confirming their elitists posture. I became convinced that if this movement were to make any kind of an impact and if we were to be instrumental in saving our country from the hands of elitists despots, something more had to be done. After researching several possibilities that didn't look promising, I stumbled across NJ's recall laws, and immediately locked onto the idea.
Tim Knight - Ms.Salanitri, is your movement Constitutional? I mean, looking at the Federal Constitution, which has the lone jurisdiction over all federal Representatives, there is no such recall option. What say you?
RoseAnn Salanitri - There has been much said on both sides about whether or not this is Constitutional. It is clearly constitutional in the NJ Constitution. Federally, it has to be tested.
However, I will attach a letter John Armor, an accomplished constitutional lawyer, wrote regarding this issue. Mr. Armor states the case more precisely than I can. (FYI, the letter was written in response to an op ed piece that appeared in the Star Ledger. The piece was very slanted against the recall, and the Star Ledger never printed Mr. Armor's dissenting letter.)
Tim Knight - Ms.Salanitri, what has Senator Menendez done to acquire your interest and dedication to remove him from office?
RoseAnn Salanitri - Perhaps that is the simplest question of all to answer. He is spending us into near bankruptcy and has to be stopped. In addition, his votes along these lines show a total disregard for the oath he took to preserve and uphold the Constitution, which limits the power of government. Senator Menendez is not the only elected official that is acting in this manner; however, he is one of two whose actions are subject to the citizens of NJ.
Tim Knight - Ms.Salanitri, here is the question of the hour, are you targeting the Senator because he is Hispanic?
RoseAnn Salanitri - This is a question that is presented to me time and time again. As the granddaughter of immigrants, I find it baffling. All I can say is that the only one that seems concerned about Senator Menendez' nationality is Senator Menendez.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2010
The Obama Effect: The Results from His Stumps in Virginia and NJ and What it Means in Massachusetts
Something I've found interesting over the last few weeks is speculation about how President Obama will effect the race in Massachusetts. But why deal with guesses when we can learn from history? I took the raw polling data from the New Jersey and Virginia elections, both of which Obama campaigned in, and analyzed it. From it, one can safely guess what Obama's stumping will do for Coakley.
On October 27th, President Obama campaigned for R. Creigh Deeds, the Democratic candidate for governor. On November 3rd, Deeds was handily beaten by Robert McDonnell (R). But what does that mean? Well, one look at this graph and the Obama Effect can easily be seen:
Click for much better quality.
As the graph shows, before the President campaigned for Deeds, polls showed McDonnell leading 54.6-40.6, or by 14%. When the election finally came, McDonnell won 58.7-41.2, or by 17.5%, three and a half points more than before Obama stumped for Deeds. In other words, the President did not have any effect on the election, and could possibly have pushed voters towards McDonnell.
But this is in Virginia, some might say. The election could have been a done deal, and thus could have negatively hurt turnout for Deeds. However, when compared to polling data from New Jersey, the Obama Effect can be more accurately quantified.
The race between incumbent Gov. Corzine (D) and Chris Christie (R) in New Jersey was much closer than the election of Virginia. On November 1, President Obama stumped for Corzine, hoping to push him above his Republican challenger. Much to the President's and Corzine's chagrin, Christie defeated Corzine by more than four percent. but what does this have to do with the Obama Effect? Well, take a look:
Click for better quality
The trend from the graph is clear. The week before the election, before Obama campaigned for Corzine, Christie was in the lead 41.9-41.1, less than a single percentage point. Yet, on election day, Christie won 48.8-44.5, more than 4%.
So what does this all mean? I believe the data can speak for itself. In both elections, after Obama stumped for his candidate, their opponent increased in relative support by 3.5%. That is the Obama Effect. He does not help the people he campaigns for; it is very possible that these votes mark a repudiation of him.
Now we look at the Special Election in Massachusetts, in which Obama is stumping for Martha Coakley:
Click for better quality
So the day that Obama campaigns for Coakley, polls show her behind 51-46 to Scott Brown, a five point difference between the two. Now, factoring in the Obama Effect, I make a bold prediction: that advantage of five will raise to over eight percent when the election is actually held.
And what's more, it is not a wild guess. This is based off of solid polling data. Thanks to RealClearPolitics for the NJ, Virginia, and Massachusetts data.
UPDATE:
Scott Brown has beaten Martha Coakley handily in the Massachusetts special election. Mr. Brown won the victory by approximately five percent, once again showing that his stumps for candidates do not work. The Obama Effect has struck.
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On October 27th, President Obama campaigned for R. Creigh Deeds, the Democratic candidate for governor. On November 3rd, Deeds was handily beaten by Robert McDonnell (R). But what does that mean? Well, one look at this graph and the Obama Effect can easily be seen:
Click for much better quality.As the graph shows, before the President campaigned for Deeds, polls showed McDonnell leading 54.6-40.6, or by 14%. When the election finally came, McDonnell won 58.7-41.2, or by 17.5%, three and a half points more than before Obama stumped for Deeds. In other words, the President did not have any effect on the election, and could possibly have pushed voters towards McDonnell.
But this is in Virginia, some might say. The election could have been a done deal, and thus could have negatively hurt turnout for Deeds. However, when compared to polling data from New Jersey, the Obama Effect can be more accurately quantified.
The race between incumbent Gov. Corzine (D) and Chris Christie (R) in New Jersey was much closer than the election of Virginia. On November 1, President Obama stumped for Corzine, hoping to push him above his Republican challenger. Much to the President's and Corzine's chagrin, Christie defeated Corzine by more than four percent. but what does this have to do with the Obama Effect? Well, take a look:
Click for better qualityThe trend from the graph is clear. The week before the election, before Obama campaigned for Corzine, Christie was in the lead 41.9-41.1, less than a single percentage point. Yet, on election day, Christie won 48.8-44.5, more than 4%.
So what does this all mean? I believe the data can speak for itself. In both elections, after Obama stumped for his candidate, their opponent increased in relative support by 3.5%. That is the Obama Effect. He does not help the people he campaigns for; it is very possible that these votes mark a repudiation of him.
Now we look at the Special Election in Massachusetts, in which Obama is stumping for Martha Coakley:
Click for better qualitySo the day that Obama campaigns for Coakley, polls show her behind 51-46 to Scott Brown, a five point difference between the two. Now, factoring in the Obama Effect, I make a bold prediction: that advantage of five will raise to over eight percent when the election is actually held.
And what's more, it is not a wild guess. This is based off of solid polling data. Thanks to RealClearPolitics for the NJ, Virginia, and Massachusetts data.
UPDATE:
Scott Brown has beaten Martha Coakley handily in the Massachusetts special election. Mr. Brown won the victory by approximately five percent, once again showing that his stumps for candidates do not work. The Obama Effect has struck.
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Wednesday, November 4, 2009
Christie Victory in NJ Sends a Message to Obama
By now you have heard the news, Republican Chris Christie has won the race for governor in New Jersey. The race was both tight and difficult, but Christie won out over slimeball Gov. Jon Corzine. But there is more to this victory than a simple seat at the highest office in New Jersey.
For the last couple of days, President Barack Obama has been campaigning for and with Corzine. He gave speeches, he had photo ops, and even gave idiotic quotes about "selective memory." Well, as election 2009 comes to an end, it looks like the voters have selective memory too, Mr. President.
You see, regardless of Obama's cult of personality status amongst die-hards, the tides are turning for him with independents and even some Democrats. The "prestige" he lent Corzine was nothing more than a few words and a few jabs at Republicans. Corzine still lost by five percent, and imagine for a second if he didn't have the President's support.
The thing is, Christie's victory sends a message right to the White House steps. The President can no longer lull people to sleep with empty words and broken promises. He can no longer blame the Republicans for the Democrats' problems. And the cult of personality that got him into the nation's highest office is fading and losing luster as fast as he breaks campaign promises.
Congratulations, Mr. Christie, rule New Jersey well.
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For the last couple of days, President Barack Obama has been campaigning for and with Corzine. He gave speeches, he had photo ops, and even gave idiotic quotes about "selective memory." Well, as election 2009 comes to an end, it looks like the voters have selective memory too, Mr. President.
You see, regardless of Obama's cult of personality status amongst die-hards, the tides are turning for him with independents and even some Democrats. The "prestige" he lent Corzine was nothing more than a few words and a few jabs at Republicans. Corzine still lost by five percent, and imagine for a second if he didn't have the President's support.
The thing is, Christie's victory sends a message right to the White House steps. The President can no longer lull people to sleep with empty words and broken promises. He can no longer blame the Republicans for the Democrats' problems. And the cult of personality that got him into the nation's highest office is fading and losing luster as fast as he breaks campaign promises.
Congratulations, Mr. Christie, rule New Jersey well.
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Tuesday, November 3, 2009
Christie Wins in NJ!
NBC News is calling the New Jersey Governor's Race for Republican Chris Christie. Despite the fact that Governor Corzine has poured millions of his own money in and received great support from President Obama, this is an upset. Republicans have been seen as potential winners before, but this actually was carried through.
This is so good for the people of New Jersey. First, a corrupt slimeball like Corzine is booted out. Second, an anti-corruption candidate Christie has won.
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This is so good for the people of New Jersey. First, a corrupt slimeball like Corzine is booted out. Second, an anti-corruption candidate Christie has won.
Bookmark our site!
Friday, October 30, 2009
Thursday, July 16, 2009
As Corzine Slips, Obama Steps In
New Jersey Jon Corzine has been called corrupt and incompetent during his tenure in the Garden State. He has presided over an untenable budget. He has recently raised taxes, attempting to balance the budget, but it appears that his move has come too late.
In exchange, the people of New Jersey appear ready to kick him out. A recent Quinnipiac poll places him behind likely Republican challenger Chris Christie 53-41. Also, Corzine's disapproval rating has hit 60%.
New Jersey, though, has a history of liking Republican candidates at first glance, then not voting for them. Take the 2006 election when corrupt incumbent Senator Robert Menendez (appointed by Corzine) beat Tom Kean, Jr., the son of a former three-term governor.
So the latest news is that the President is going to travel to the Garden State to help his ally.
So will it be enough? I don't believe that the President will have a huge impact, although it is definitely possible that many of the newly registered voters could be convinced to come out on election day, giving Corzine an "artificial" victory. By artificial, I mean that the number of informed voters would go for Christie, but a large group of uninformed new voters could vote D for the sake of it. Christie may also not show much prowess in electioneering, just as Tom Kean, Jr. did in 2006.
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In exchange, the people of New Jersey appear ready to kick him out. A recent Quinnipiac poll places him behind likely Republican challenger Chris Christie 53-41. Also, Corzine's disapproval rating has hit 60%.
New Jersey, though, has a history of liking Republican candidates at first glance, then not voting for them. Take the 2006 election when corrupt incumbent Senator Robert Menendez (appointed by Corzine) beat Tom Kean, Jr., the son of a former three-term governor.
So the latest news is that the President is going to travel to the Garden State to help his ally.
So will it be enough? I don't believe that the President will have a huge impact, although it is definitely possible that many of the newly registered voters could be convinced to come out on election day, giving Corzine an "artificial" victory. By artificial, I mean that the number of informed voters would go for Christie, but a large group of uninformed new voters could vote D for the sake of it. Christie may also not show much prowess in electioneering, just as Tom Kean, Jr. did in 2006.
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