A GOP Governor in Massachusetts?

Don't hold your breath.
Or at least, that's what I said about Scott Brown's candidacy five months ago.

But let's take a look at the situation here. Current Democratic Governor Deval Patrick, a close ally of President Obama, has helped run the state into the ground after Governor Romney straightened out a lot of the state government. Patrick won 55%-35% in a three-way race in 2006. Now he suffers from anemic approval ratings and in any other state would appear vulnerable.

But this is Massachusetts.

The Republicans have just chosen Charles Baker as their nominee. He is a veteran of two state administrations and is a capable business leader. He's certainly a New England Republican. He supports abortion rights and gay-marriage rights. But he's fiscally conservative and wants to roll back the excesses of the Massachusetts democrats.

Republicans only have 5 of 40 seats in the State Senate, or just 12.5%. So what are the odds of pulling this one off? I'd take a look at several factors:

Pro-Baker:

• The Obama Effect could be at play if he comes to the Bay State.
• Romney could push hard-- believe it or not he still has some credibility there.
• Scott Brown will be an effective person on Baker's side. He can be the voice of reason in this very blue state.
• Now that ObamaCare is passed, Baker can run on an anti-establishment platform-- in RomneyCare land.
• The Tea Party movement may coalesce around this fiscally responsible candidate.

Anti-Baker:

• Higher turnout in a regular election will result in a more-heavily Democratic electorate. Brown's election took place during a special election.
• The election is not during the ObamaCare debate-- and apart from Patrick's incompetence there is no unifying force to rally around.
• Patrick is no Coakley, at least not yet. He campaigned hard to win the Dems' nomination in 2006 and will probably do so again to retain his seat.
• Conservatives may not want to back what they consider a RINO. But what's the alternative?

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"The People's Seat:" The Rallying Cry of a Nation

As confetti fell from the ceiling at Scott Brown's campaign headquarters, murmurs of "the People's seat" could be heard from the crowd. Indeed, it was this saying that defined Senator-elect Brown's campaign.

Uttered as a rebuke to a question during a debate, "the People's seat" struck a cord with millions of Americans. From the shores of the Atlantic in Massachusetts, to the fields of Wisconsin, on to the forests of California, this phrase has reverberated.

But it is not an empty campaign slogan. It is not a "Yes We Can," in which a Presidential candidate promises to do whatever he wants, but with the people's vote. No, it is "the People's seat." When in office, Brown will do what the people want.

It is even more than that, though. It is a defining moment in the biggest upset in American political history. It is the people saying: "Do what we want, or you are gone." It is a wake up call to incumbent Democrats pushing corrupted health care. It is a call to the RINOs of these United States that it is a privilege to serve us, not a privilege for us to have them.

The People have realized that indeed every seat in politics belongs to us and only us. We make the decisions, the politicians follow.

And that is what Scott Brown has done. He has taught us this lesson and he has woken us up. Hopefully we will not go to sleep again.

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Scott Brown Wins!

We at Jumping in Pools would like to call the election for Scott Brown! The Associated Press and FoxNews also predicted a Brown victory, a full thirty minutes after we projected it! It appears that Scott Brown will win--

Currently with 74% of the vote in: Coakley 759,561: 46%, Scott Brown 864,629 53%.

And Coakley just conceded!

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Brown-Coakley Exit Polls, Election Results

Chime in on our election day Open Thread!

Jumping in Pools was one of the first blogs on the internet to call the 2009 New Jersey governor's race for Republican Chris Christie.

UPDATE: Coakley claims 'voter fraud.'

From all of the data from news sources, polls, and important pundits, we'd like to make the following estimates:

Scott Brown (R) 49.4%
Martha Coakley (D) 47.0%
Kennedy (L) 3.6%

We have word of heavy turnout in less-liberal areas of Massachusetts. There is also snowfall in far-left regions of the state.

Stay tuned to Jumping in Pools for election night coverage!

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Coakley Claiming "Voter Fraud" as Panic Sets In

Chime in on our election day Open Thread!

The Coakley campaign is in total damage control as a heavy turnout appears to be favoring her opponent, Scott Brown. With recent polls showing Brown ahead by nearly ten points, Coakley's campaign is now claiming that Brown is 'stealing' the election.

From her campaign site:

We've received several independent and disturbing reports of voters across the state being handed ballots that are already marked in favor of Scott Brown. This is obviously a serious violation, and our legal team is taking immediate steps to protect the integrity of this election.

We do not yet know why this is happening, but you and everyone you know needs to be aware of the situation so that you can carefully inspect your ballot. If a vote has already been marked, you must return the ballot to the elections official, demand a clean ballot, and call our Voter Protection Hotline at 617-351-6866.

Meanwhile, Scott Brown is reporting from his Twitter that Doug Flutie is campaigning in Park Plaza in Boston right now!

Doug Flutie is volunteering at the Park Plaza in Boston helping the team set up, what a great guy!

From Coakley's Twitter, one voter said that she was voting for a really important and valid reason.

if you haven't voted, please do. dems deserve a chance to fix 8 years of bush.

So that Coakleybot is right-- get out and vote for Scott.

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Vote in Our Poll: Who Will Win the MA Senate Race?

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From September Until Now: A Graph of Brown's Rise and Coakley's Fall in Massachusetts

Looking around the internet, I noticed a severe lack of graphical annotations of the Massachusetts polls between Scott Brown and Martha Coakley. So I put the impetus on myself and created one, to show exactly how badly Coakley has squandered her gigantic lead and how bad she has run her campaign.
Click for much better quality.

As the graph clearly shows, Scott Brown has shot up especially since November of 2009, with Coakley decidedly dropping during the same time period. In November, Coakley had a thirty-one percent lead over Brown. In fact, at that time Brown did not even have 31% support from voters.

So here's to Scott Brown! And thanks to RealClearPolitics for the polling data.

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Conservative bloggers invading Massachusetts!

The world must be upside down, Conservatives are traveling too Massachusetts to campaign for a Republican candidate, who actually has a legitimate chance of being elected to the United States Senate, against all odds. Several weeks ago, just a few in the Conservative blogosphere would bother to listen about the Senate race, now the entire blogosphere, Twitterings, Facebook postings, and news coverage is surrounding the race, and Scott Brown, the Republican candidate.

William Jacobson of Legal Insurrection is in Massachusetts as I write this, covering the Massachusetts Senate election at Scott Brown's campaign headquarters, providing the Conservative blogosphere and media with on the ground reports, and updates, as well as the opinions of Brown staffers, and the voters.

Across America, R.S. McCain of The Other McCain is considering a trip to Massachusetts next week, after traveling to California for the National championship game this week, visiting Florida to cover the last stop of the Tea Party Express last month, and New York's 23rd special congressional election back in November, to cover Doug Hoffman and the close election that ensued.

Living in New York, I could drive to Massachusetts, cover the special election for a few weeks, and perhaps score an interview with Scott Brown himself, however, with Jumping in Pools a small site compared to Legal Insurrection or The Other McCain, I do not see much financial benefit of making the trip.

Regardless, the initial statement of the article remains, Conservative bloggers are invading Massachusetts, in hopes of covering one of the most important elections in our time, from a Conservative perspective, and to gauge our real chances and hopes amongst the electorate. Not to mention, Conservatives are no longer satisfied with the Main Stream Media or anyone else telling us the news, we want to see and report the news, ourselves.

This election will have national implications on the United States Senate, the Democratic caucus, and Democratic attempts to jam through health care legislation, however, this election will also have an impact inside the Conservative blogosphere, as our transformation from simple bloggers to investigative reporters is close to completion.

www.brownforussenate.com

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Brown is winning the battle of the blogosphere.

UPDATE: Conservative bloggers invading Massachusetts!

Scott Brown is within two percentage points of his Democratic candidate among definite voters, however, the political blogsphere and Internet is behind his campaign 100 percent of the time, leaving the Conservative blogosphere in a new found position of success on congressional elections, let us remember the 23rd congressional election in New York.

The battle of the Tweets

Scott Brown's campaign has 4,236 followers on Twitter, Martha Coakley's campaign has 2,046 followers on Twitter, and the Twitter debate is as pro-Brown as it will ever be. Brown's campaign has tweeted 624 updates, while Coakley's campaign has tweeted just 444 updates.

Please give to Soldiers' Angels.

The battle of supporters

Scott Brown's campaign has 18,878 supporters on Facebook, while Martha Coakley's campaign has 6,633 supporters on Facebook, according to a post published yesterday on Legal Insurrection, Brown had 16,391 supporters on Facebook compared to 6,479 supporters for Coakley.

Brown has gained 2,487 supporters since yesterday morning, Coakley has gained 154 supporters since yesterday morning, and that is with increased attention from the Liberal blogosphere, meaning there is little interest or over confidence from our counterparts on the left.

The battle of the blogs

Legal Insurrection, Michelle Malkin, Jumping in Pools, The Other McCain, Riehl World View, Insta Pundit, The Patriot Room, and hundreds of other Conservative blogs have been on the warpath for the Scott Brown campaign, while the Liberal blogosphere has all but ignored the Massachusetts Senate election, just the shocking nature of poll results from Rasmussen, has scared them into pathetic action.

Brown Brigade

3,196 Americans have joined the Brown Brigade to support Scott Brown's campaign through the Internet, I joined the network of Brown supporters a few weeks ago, to vent about the lack of coverage the Conservative blogosphere had given his campaign, that has since changed. Coakley's campaign does not have a similar foundation of support like the Brown Brigade, and that will not change.

The battle over Google and Bing search engines

Google - Scott Brown has been mentioned 53,200,000 times on Google, while Martha Coakley has been mentioned 50,600 times on Google, the appointed Senator Paul Kirk has more mentions than the current Democrat candidate for that seat!

Bing - Scott Brown has been mentioned 52,800,000 times on Bing, while Martha Coakley has been mentioned 219,000 times on Bing, Senator Kirk again has more mentions on a large search engine than the current Democrat candidate for that seat.

Conclusion

Scott Brown is gaining among the voters of Massachusetts, while slaughtering his Democratic opponent on Twitter, Facebook, the political blogosphere, and mentions on major search engines, leaving Scott Brown with critical nationwide support with eleven days to the major election.

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Scott Brown - going against the odds.

The political career of Scott Brown is not crude, rather it is the political career of a mastermind. Having relatives in Massachusetts, I am aware of the horrific nature of the statist Democrats who control the towns, counties, both houses of the legislature, and all elected officials in the federal delegation.

Being a Republican is tough, if not painful.

Despite the overwhelming odds, Scott Brown has succeeded in Massachusetts, achieving election to a handful of offices in Massachusetts, while serving as a proud member of the Massachusetts National Guard, and raising two daughters. In just 12 days, Massachusetts will be electing a new Senator, and Scott Brown might accomplish the greatest achievement of his entire political career.

This is not an election that might rock the political establishment of Washington and political agenda of the socialistic democrats, it will rock the political establishment of Washington and political agenda of the socialistic democrats. Some might rise above others to receive the spotlight, however, that would be against the nature of Scott Brown, because he is a proud soldier, first and foremost.

Speaking of going against the odds, remember that Rasmussen Reports poll that was released the other morning? William Jacobson of Legal Insurrection discovered something few individuals have noted, among definite voters, Scott Brown is within two percentage points of his Democratic opponent, a miracle in Massachusetts.

Also, 3,000 Americans have joined the Brown Brigade, a campaign hotspot for Brown supporters, the Democratic candidate couldn't muster 3,000 volunteers if she wanted to, a great sign for the Scott Brown campaign and the Conservative blogosphere at the same time.

www.brownforussenate.com

Remember this, when Scott Brown was elected to be an assessor in Wrentham Massachusetts, he was going against the odds. When Scott Brown was elected to be on the Wrentham Board of Selectmen, he was going against the odds. When Scott Brown was elected to the Massachusetts House of Representatives, he was going against the odds. When Scott Brown was elected to the Massachusetts State Senate, he was going against the odds.

In under two weeks, we can all go against the odds, while supporting Scott Browns campaign, and working for a political upset of epic proportions.

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Scott Brown within 9% points in Massachusetts.

According to a just released poll from Rasmussen Reports, 50% of voters in Massachusetts support the Democratic candidate, however, 41% of voters in Massachusetts support Scott Brown's campaign for United States Senate, an amazing feat for a Republican seeking an office in Massachusetts, whether it be on the federal, statewide, or local level.

50% of Massachusetts voters would support the Democrat, 41% of Massachusetts voters would support Scott Brown, 7% of Massachusetts voters are unsure, and 1% of Massachusetts voters would support some other candidate, also just 53% of Massachusetts citizens support the Democratic health care legislation in Washington, 45% opposed the Democratic legislation.

25% of voters have a very favorable opinion of Scott Brown, compared to just 5% of voters who have a very unfavorable opinion of Scott Brown, while just 21% of voters have a very favorable opinion of the Democrat, and 22% of voters have a very unfavorable opinion at the same time.

This is no longer a false hope of Republicans, if Republican turnout is strong, Brown's momentum continues, and the Democratic candidate continues to act like a King on a throne, or like an entitled little drama queen, Scott Brown will be the next United States Senator from Massachusetts.

Brown within 9% points - http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/massachusetts/election_2010_massachusetts_special_senate_election
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