Complete 2010 Senate Rankings - August of 2010.

The November elections are now just 12 weeks away, and with that little time separating voters from a frustrating summer to a jubilant ballot box, the polls are burning every minute of the day and there's too much news to comprehend. However, we can all agree on one thing - Democrats have the most to lose, especially in the United States Senate.

The voters will be electing 37 Senator's in November, 19 of those seats are Democrat controlled and 18 are Republican controlled as of this August morning, but that will all change in just a few more weeks. In fact, I have been reading the polls and digesting the primaries, and I feel that I have a good pulse of the upcoming elections, thus I** offer the following 2010 US Senate rankings with extreme prejudice.

These rankings are based on solid Senate seats (100% sure to go Republican or Democrat), leaning Senate seats (75% sure to go either Republican or Democrat, pending on which way the political winds are blowing), and toss up Senate seats (pure political unknowns; grab a bag of popcorn and enjoy).

Solid Democratic seats - 7

Connecticut - Open seat (D).
Hawaii - Senator Inouye (D).
Maryland - Senator Mikulski (D).
New York 1 - Senator Schumer (D).
Oregon - Senator Wyden (D).
Vermont - Senator Leahy (D).
West Viringia - Open seat (D).

Leaning Democratic seats - 5

California - Senator Boxer (D).
Colorado - Senator Bennet (D).
Nevada - Senator Reid (D)*.
New York 2 - Senator Gillibrand (D).
Washington - Senator Murray (D).

Toss us seats - 6

Florida - Open seat (R).
Illinois - Open seat (D).
Missouri - Open seat (R).
Ohio - Open seat (R).
Pennsylvania - Open seat (D).
Wisconsin - Senator Feingold (D).

Leaning Republican seats - 6

Alaska - Senator Murkowski (R).
Delaware - Open seat (D).
Indiana - Open seat (D).
Kentucky - Open seat (R).
New Hampshire - Open seat (R).
North Carolina - Senator Burr (R).

Solid Republican seats - 13

Alabama - Senator Shelby (R).
Arkansas - Senator Lincoln (D).
Arizona - Senator McCain (R).
Georgia - Senator Isakson (R).
Idaho - Senator Crapo (R).
Iowa - Senator Grassley (R).
Kansas - Open seat (R).
Louisiana - Senator Vitter (R).
North Dakota - Open seat (D).
Oklahoma - Senator Coburn (R).
South Carolina - Senator DeMint (R).
South Dakota - Senator Thune (R).
Utah - Open seat (R).

As it stands........

Senate Democrats will retain 12 seats, and lose 4 seats.
Senate Republicans will retain 15 seats, and gain 4 seats.
6 Senate seats are undecided - 3 Democrat, 3 Republican.

* - Reid has taken a lead in the polls, though Angle can reverse it.
** - I do apologize for the excessive use of "I" in the second paragraph.





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Complete 2010 Senate Rankings - June of 2010.

With just five months to go until we reach November, one must ask this question: What can we expect from the 36 United States Senate elections this Fall? 18 seats are Republican controlled and the other 18 seats are Democratic controlled, but with the balance of the Senate as it is - 59 Democrats, 41 Republicans; Democrats have the most to lose.

I've been following the polls, watching the primaries, and keeping a very close eye on voting patterns thus far in 2010. And while I might not be a political expert or a "wizkid" by any means; I believe that I have a good pulse of what to expect for this November and thus I offer the following 2010 US Senate rankings with extreme prejudice.

These rankings are based on solid Senate seats (100% sure to go Republican or Democrat), leaning Senate seats (75% sure to go either Republican or Democrat, pending on which way the political winds are blowing), and toss up Senate seats (pure political unknowns; grab a bag of popcorn and enjoy).

Solid Democratic seats - 7

Connecticut - Open seat (D).
Hawaii - Senator Inouye (D).
Maryland - Senator Mikulski (D).
New York 1 - Senator Schumer (D).
Oregon - Senator Wyden (D).
Vermont - Senator Leahy (D).
Washington - Senator Murrary (D).

Leaning Democratic seats - 4

California - Senator Boxrer (D).
Colorado - Senator Bennet (D).
New York 2 - Senator Gillibrand (D).
Wisconsin - Senator Feingold (D).

Toss up seats - 7

Florida - Open seat (R).
Illinois - Open seat (D).
Indiana - Open seat (D).
Missouri - Open seat (R).
Nevada - Senator Reid (D).
Ohio - Open seat (R).
Pennsylvania - Open seat (D).

Leaning Republican seats - 5

Alaska - Senator Murkowski (R).
Delaware - Open seat (D).
Kentucky - Open seat (R).
New Hampshire - Open seat (R).
North Carolina - Senator Burr (R).

Solid Republican seats - 13

Alabama - Senator Shelby (R).
Arkansas - Senator Lincoln (D).
Arizona - Senator McCain (R).
Georgia - Senator Isakson (R).
Idaho - Senator Crapo (R).
Iowa - Senator Grassley (R).
Kansas - Open seat (R).
Louisiana - Senator Vitter (R).
North Dakota - Open seat (D).
Oklahoma - Senator Coburn (R).
South Carolina - Senator DeMint (R).
South Dakota - Senator Thune (R).
Utah - Open seat (R).

As is stands........

Senate Democrats will retain 11 seats, and lose 3 seats.
Senate Republicans will retain 15 seats, and gain 3 seats.
7 Senate seats are undecided - 4 Democrat, 3 Republican.

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The Murkowski Resoluton fails 47-53.

Senator Murkowski's Joint Resolution in opposition to the Environmental Protection Agency's "carbon is pollution" ruling failed last evening with 47 Senators supporting the Resolution, and with 53 Senators opposing the Resolution; closer than expected. We shouldn't be surprised that the Resolution failed; but that it failed by only a few votes.

While opposition to the Resolution was strictly partisan; a coalition of 41 Republicans and 6 Democrats united in support of this Resolution; united in opposition against the greenhouse gas hysteria; and united in opposition against the seizure of more legislative authority by the executive branch. I believe those 6 Democratic Senators deserve a little recognition for bucking the President:

Senator Bayh of Indiana. Senator Landrieu of Louisiana. Senator Lincoln of Arkansas. Senator Nelson of Nebraska. Senator Pryor of Arkansas. Senator Rockefeller of West Virginia. It's true that Senator Webb of Virginia also agreed with the principle behind the Resolution; but that he did not want to condemn Executive Branch programs that have done some good.

While I was reviewing the Roll Call Vote yesterday evening; a couple of "nay votes" caught my attention: Senator Begich of Alaska opposed the Resolution, not a smart vote for someone who wants to be reelected in 4 years in the oil capital of America; and Senator Byrd of West Virginia also opposed the Resolution, which is quite interesting - considering his announced opposition to a cap and trade scheme.

We might have fallen a few votes short of what was required to pass the Resolution; but we have more than enough opposing votes to derail any cap and trade sceheme that is proposed in the US Senate through out the rest of the 111th United States Congress. There's always light at the end of the tunnel.

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Can the Murkowski Resolution pass?

Senator Lisa Murkowski of Alaska has introduced a Joint Resolution "disapproving a rule submitted by the EPA relating to the endangerment finding and the cause or contribute findings for greenhouse gases under section 202(a) of the Clean Air Act"; which is being considered in the United States Senate as I write this.

Obviously Senator Murkowski's Joint Resolution is applaudable, accurate and awesome; but can the Resolution actually pass in the United States Senate - as currently occupied? The Senate contains 59 Democrats and 41 Republicans; but the Murkowski Resolution needs only 51 votes to pass.

As of 3pm this afternoon: 42 United States Senators support the resolution. 39 of 41 Senate Republicans support the Resolution (no word from either of the Maine Senators) and 3 Senate Democrats support the Resolution as well; Senator's Landrieu of Louisiana, Lincoln of Arkansas, and Nelson of Nebraska.

Assuming all 41 Senate Republicans support the Resolution this afternoon; and that the above mentioned Democrats remain on our side (for once) - that means we'll need another 7 Senators to support the resolution; in direct defiance of Environmentalist groups and President Obama.

So can the Murkowski Resolution pass this afternoon? I believe the vote will be close; 45 or 46 votes for and 55 or 54 votes again, but I just cannot believe that 10 Democratic Senators (12 if Collins and Snowe don't vote the line) will join Senate Republicans in direct defiance of Obama and environmentalist nutjobs.

It's a shame - common sense just can't seem to pass in Washington.

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