Saturday, June 12, 2010

Complete 2010 Senate Rankings - June of 2010.

With just five months to go until we reach November, one must ask this question: What can we expect from the 36 United States Senate elections this Fall? 18 seats are Republican controlled and the other 18 seats are Democratic controlled, but with the balance of the Senate as it is - 59 Democrats, 41 Republicans; Democrats have the most to lose.

I've been following the polls, watching the primaries, and keeping a very close eye on voting patterns thus far in 2010. And while I might not be a political expert or a "wizkid" by any means; I believe that I have a good pulse of what to expect for this November and thus I offer the following 2010 US Senate rankings with extreme prejudice.

These rankings are based on solid Senate seats (100% sure to go Republican or Democrat), leaning Senate seats (75% sure to go either Republican or Democrat, pending on which way the political winds are blowing), and toss up Senate seats (pure political unknowns; grab a bag of popcorn and enjoy).

Solid Democratic seats - 7

Connecticut - Open seat (D).
Hawaii - Senator Inouye (D).
Maryland - Senator Mikulski (D).
New York 1 - Senator Schumer (D).
Oregon - Senator Wyden (D).
Vermont - Senator Leahy (D).
Washington - Senator Murrary (D).

Leaning Democratic seats - 4

California - Senator Boxrer (D).
Colorado - Senator Bennet (D).
New York 2 - Senator Gillibrand (D).
Wisconsin - Senator Feingold (D).

Toss up seats - 7

Florida - Open seat (R).
Illinois - Open seat (D).
Indiana - Open seat (D).
Missouri - Open seat (R).
Nevada - Senator Reid (D).
Ohio - Open seat (R).
Pennsylvania - Open seat (D).

Leaning Republican seats - 5

Alaska - Senator Murkowski (R).
Delaware - Open seat (D).
Kentucky - Open seat (R).
New Hampshire - Open seat (R).
North Carolina - Senator Burr (R).

Solid Republican seats - 13

Alabama - Senator Shelby (R).
Arkansas - Senator Lincoln (D).
Arizona - Senator McCain (R).
Georgia - Senator Isakson (R).
Idaho - Senator Crapo (R).
Iowa - Senator Grassley (R).
Kansas - Open seat (R).
Louisiana - Senator Vitter (R).
North Dakota - Open seat (D).
Oklahoma - Senator Coburn (R).
South Carolina - Senator DeMint (R).
South Dakota - Senator Thune (R).
Utah - Open seat (R).

As is stands........

Senate Democrats will retain 11 seats, and lose 3 seats.
Senate Republicans will retain 15 seats, and gain 3 seats.
7 Senate seats are undecided - 4 Democrat, 3 Republican.

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conservative generation said...

You may need to bump CT's down one at least. Blumenthal is taking all kinds of heat for his "war" service.

Mr. K said...

If Ned Lamont can almost win in the state of Connecticut - the AG will win without question.

Fenway_Nation said...

Unfortunately, CG, I don't think Blumenthal's speech impediment where he slips in the occasional 'in Vietnam' when referring to himself in the past tense will cost him too dearly in what is a de-facto 6th bourough of New York City.

Even if it did, what would the GOP get? Another multimillionaire entertainer running for office as a Republican. How'd that work for California?