Why Obama Will Win in 2012, Part One

Predictions and fortune-telling are among the least reliable forms of information known to man. However trends often cross over years and can signal whether or not big changes are going to occur. My predictions are not usually accurate, but I am beginning to see a series of events which will likely lead to the re-election of President Obama.

I'm starting a series which will hopefully go to show that while things aren't hopeless for the Republican Party, the warning bells should be sounded.

1. Lack of a Republican 'incumbent.'

This doesn't simply mean that there's not a Republican President or Vice President in office today, but that there is no one waiting in the wings to take the Republican mantle. I know what many may think: that Sarah Palin, as VP candidate in 2008, is ready to take over the fight. However, as 2008 showed, many in the party were willing to support a moderate candidate (McCain and Giuliani). Palin's conservatism may not be a liability with the base, but may lead many to believe that she is unwinnable in a general election.

And this goes beyond Palin. In 2008, McCain was an early favorite because he had come in a strong second in the last Republican primary. In 1976, Ronald Reagan had almost won the primaries away from sitting President Gerald Ford. When the Republicans did not have a sitting legacy, they were destroyed. Take 1996, when Robert Dole was blown out, barely gathering 40% of the national vote. Yes, he was a contender in the 1988 Republican primaries, but not near the amount of legacy of Reagan and McCain.

In addition, many of the Republican candidates are already known to run poor campaigns. Much enthusiasm was generated by former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson. According to some, the actor would grant the field the conservatism and gravitas to carry the primaries. Instead, he flopped.

Mitt Romney flipped on nearly every important issue regarding his reign as Governor of Massachusetts. On gay marriage, taxes, and abortion, he made swift turns which seemed (at least to me and much of the Republican electorate) as phony stancing attempting to please the Republican base. Instead, his mediocre record as Governor helped doomed his candidacy to a much more moderate character, McCain.

Mike Huckabee is a jovial, likable former Governor of Arkansas. His record as Governor was excellent and has a speaking ability that may top the Republican field. However, his religious views and ties with the church, being a former pastor, may hurt his chances in any Fall 2012 matchup. Huckabee is also seen as unrefined by many in his own party, lacking the business "finesse" of Romney (not that he has much anyway) or military experience of McCain.

Rudy Giuliani was one of the best mayors of New York City. He reduced taxes, unemployment, and crime. He cleaned up NYC's mess after Dinkins and helped propel a 1990s boom. His moderate views, particularly on abortion and gay marriage, alienated many in the Conservative base, but still was considered an early favorite. Giuliani may stand a shot against Obama in 2012 if the focus is on national security. However, pop culture and a short attention span seems to downplay his heroic leadership on and after the September 11th, 2001 massacres. Joe Biden's joke about Giuliani's sentence-making is similar to saying that Churchill's sentences were a "noun, a verb, and the Battle of Britain."

Bobby Jindal is a reformist from Louisiana. He may become President one day, but he is far too smart to challenge Obama if he is still popular. By 2012, Jindal may not have a strong record to stand on (although 2008 proved that you do not need one to win) and his conservative views will be mercilessly attacked during any general election campaign. My guess is he won't run until 2016 at the earliest.

There are many others who may vie for the Republican nomination in three years. Among the names are Eric Cantor, George Pataki, and John Huntsman. However, the fact that many are virtual unknowns will probably not help to unseat a current President.

Tune in for part two.

Remember to bookmark our site!
Consider advertising on our site!
Also, if you need to search anything on Google, please use the bar below:

CPAC selects.

The Conservative Political Action Committee Conference, via an annual straw poll - selected Mitt Romney for President in 2012, this is the third straight year they have supported him, Jindal, Palin, Paul, Gingrich, Huckabee, and several others followed his lead in the polling.

Also, if you need to search anything on Google, please use the bar below:

Jindal Taking Stand Against Overspending

In news that could send the conservative world into joy, Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal has rejected almost $100 million in stimulus cash from Washington. The Governor, renowned for his firm anti-corruption stance, is now drawing a line in the sand with overspending.

Jindal, who has attempted to rebuild Louisiana after Hurricane Katrina, believes in the government not wasting money! Novel concept, huh?

“The federal money in this bill will run out in less than three years for this benefit and our businesses would then be stuck paying the bill,” Jindal said. “We must be careful and thoughtful as we examine all the strings attached to the funding in this package. We cannot grow government in an unsustainable way.”

And Governor Jindal may not be the only one to reject such attempts at federal waste. In fact, it appears that a small portion of the Republican Party may be coalescing around fiscal conservatism.

Jindal is one of a small group of Republican governors, which includes South Carolina’s Mark Sanford and Mississippi’s Haley Barbour, who have said they might refuse some or all of the stimulus money targeted to their states.

In an interview Friday, Barbour said he, too, would likely decline funds for broadening access to unemployment insurance.

“Subject to learning more, my position is that Mississippi won’t accept funds that require us to have a tax increase later, because [they would force] us to change our rules for qualifying for unemployment compensation,” he said.

Good for the Governors. It's about time.

Also, if you need to search anything on Google, please use the bar below:

Steele is RNC chairman, not good.

I swear the Republican Party is attempting to piss off Conservatives in anyway they can, first McCain is chosen as the Republican nominee, fair enough, now Steele is elected as the RNC chairman.

This is a Conservative party! If we keep on embracing the idiotic "moderate" position between us and the Democrats, we will keep on FAILING IN ELECTIONS.

Only good news from this, the Main Stream Media cannot call us racist anymore!

I liked Katon Dawson over Mr.Steele, but lets hope for the best from Steele, perhaps he will be more Conservative then most are portraying him as.

Palin/Jindal 2012! The two Conservatives we need in the White House.

Also, if you need to search anything on Google, please use the bar below:

Steele Wins RNC Chair

I don't know if you've been following the news, but Michael Steele has carried away the RNC Chairmanship. I supported Steele and hope that he is able to expand the party back into its 2004 state.

This selection helps the Republican party beat the false notion that it is made up of "racists" and Steele's more moderate positions will push the party towards the center. Both of these characteristics will help the party grow over the next eight years. Slowly, but surely.

And having Bobby Jindal be our candidate in 2016 will be a good move, especially after Palin goes down in flames with 40-44% of the vote in 2012.

Jindal to Speak at NRCC

Louisiana's governor Bobby Jindal will be speaking at the National Republican Congressional Committee's fundraiser in March. This goes along with suspicions that the corruption-busting lawmaker could run for President in 2012.

Jindal, as a rising star in the Republican Party and a potential 2012 White House contender, will take the speaking slot that in years past belonged to President Bush.

In an e-mail to donors Friday, NRCC Chairman Pete Sessions wrote: “Bobby is a rising star and is a part of a new generation of leadership in our party. He has a budding record of success, having implemented sound, common sense business practices since he took office in 2007 and started rebuilding his great state.”

Jindal has said he is only focused on running for re-election in Baton Rouge in 2011. But in November the Louisiana governor made a foray to Iowa, home of the presidential caucuses, so he’s not doing much to tamp down the 2012 speculation.

Go Bobby.

Jindal in 2012

Well, I know that it's a bit far away, but I wanted to write a few preliminary thoughts on this idea. My first inclination for the nomination would be Giuliani, but I think that the base is not going to seriously consider another moderate.

So we look at Bobby Jindal. Why would his candidacy help the Republican Party?
Well,

*He has campaigned and governed on reducing corruption in perhaps the most corrupt state in the Union
*He is an Indian-American, showing that the Republicans are willing to support minority candidates.
*He is the son of immigrants, showing that the American Dream is alive and well.
*He is young, which can play against Obama's youth.
*He is a governor, showing executive experience.
*He is well experienced and has shown incredible tenacity.
*He is untainted from the 2008 election.

So Bobby Jindal may get my support in a couple of years.