Thursday, May 27, 2010

Halter Ahead in Runoff

 Arkansas Lt. Governor Bill Halter has jumped to a three point lead over incumbent Senator Blanche Lincoln in a poll conducted by Reasearch 2000 (but set up by the Daily Kos). Kos polls tend to be a bit off and give misleading questions, but the results here may be accurate due to the fact that it's a poll of Democratic primary voters.

According to the poll, the most leftist Halter beats the centrist for the nomination:

Halter: 47%
Lincoln: 44%

The poll also says that Halter would lose by less to Republican nominee John Boozman. I tend to think that indies will run away from Halter once they hear what he has to say.

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Feingold Only Up By 2%

 Russ Feingold, one of the most liberal members of the United States Senate, is not exactly beloved in his attempt to achieve reelection in Wisconsin. Wisconsin, a culturally conservative swing state, has sent Feingold to the Senate without massive support in the past. According to a new Rasmussen poll (the most accurate in the business), Feingold only holds a 2% lead over relative unknown Ron Johnson, a businessman.

Even worse is that Feingold does not break 50% even against this non-politician. If President Obama's approval keeps slipping and Democratic turnout crashes, Feingold may see himself tossed from the Senate.

Feingold: 46%
Johnson: 44%

There's still a 10% undecided factor here, but most of these people are probably already acquainted with Feingold. He needs to win them back quickly before Johnson's machine gets into full gear. Considering that undecideds tend to split 2/3 for the challenger in races like this, Feingold would then lose 50.6%-49.4%.... Keep an eye on this one.

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Blumenthal Up by 25%?

Coming after the New York Times story that Connecticut Democratic Senatorial Candidate Richard Blumenthal lied about serving in the Vietnam War, apparently a new Quinnipiac poll places him ahead by a staggering 25%. I know that it's Connecticut and that Democratic voters aren't exactly the most logical types, but this is stupefying.

And it also comes a week after a Rasmussen poll had Blumenthal up by only three.

So who are we to believe? Are we ready to accept that the people of Connecticut, which was almost so stupid as to put Ned Lamont in the Senate is now willing to accept Blumenthal there?

Blumenthal: 56%
McMahon: 31%

And of course the kicker is that 61% of those polled said that the Vietnam revelation wouldn't affect their vote.

Huh?
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Did President Obama Commit an Impeachable Offense?

In the last week, it has been revealed that the Obama Administration "offered" Joe Sestak "a job" to drop out of the Democratic Primary in Pennsylvania. The question is, of course, is this an impeachable offense? President Obama has assured the Press and the American people that disclosure on the subject is coming very soon.

I am not one for blindly calling for the President's impeachment over every minor scandal; I resented the same when Bush was President. Therefore, instead of pointing at spurious things, let us look at the hard facts (at least the ones that are obtainable) and go from there.

Article II, Section 4 of the United States Constitution states:

The President, Vice President and all civil Officers of the United States, shall be removed from Office on Impeachment for, and Conviction of, Treason, Bribery, or other high Crimes and Misdemeanors.
Further, offering someone a job to drop out of a race is unquestionably illegal. Here's the law, which is USC 18, Section 600 (with added emphasis):

Whoever, directly or indirectly, promises any employment, position, compensation, contract, appointment, or other benefit, provided for or made possible in whole or in part by any Act of Congress, or any special consideration in obtaining any such benefit, to any person as consideration, favor, or reward for any political activity or for the support of or opposition to any candidate or any political party in connection with any general or special election to any political office, or in connection with any primary election or political convention or caucus held to select candidates for any political office, shall be fined under this title or imprisoned not more than one year, or both.

The law is very specific, and if the Administration did this, it is very illegal. But does that mean that the President can be impeached?

It is unknown whether the President himself actually offered Sestak a job. If President Obama did not, then he cannot be impeached if he was unaware of what was going on. Likewise, if the President knew that the offering had occurred, but after the fact, he probably cannot be impeached. If the latter is the case, facts need to be uncovered about when the President found out and what he did about it.

The only way that President Obama committed an impeachable offense is if he himself directly offered Sestak a position, or if he himself told someone to do so.

The problem, however, is that what exactly occurred is unknown. Did Obama not know, did he spearhead it, or is this all a crazy misunderstanding? Until the disclosure that the President promises comes to fruition, nothing can move forward on the subject.


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Bloggers needed in NY 29.

Just as Conservative bloggers were needed in New York's 23rd district, the Senate election in Massachusetts, and Pennsylvania's 12th district; our call of duty is now in New York's 29th district, where Governor David Paterson is refusing to allow a special congressional election to restore representation for political reasons.

When Congressman Eric Massa resigned in March of this year, most expected the Governor to move quickly in calling a special election, just as he had in New York's 20th and 23rd districts. But, Governor Paterson is using the lame excuse of "disenfranchising" voters to avoid calling a special election until November.

Disenfranchising voters is not calling a special election until November! And allowing his citizens to go ten whole months without representation in the Peoples house of Congress is immoral at best, evil at worst.

Tom Reed and his campaign have been fighting against Governor Paterson in Court, attempting to force a Constitutionally mandated special election in New York's 29th congressional district. I believe it's time for members of the Blogosphere; whether you reside in New York, New Jersey, Virginia, Rhode Island, or otherwise; to unite behind the Reed campaign, and demand Governor Paterson call a special election to restore representation.

Please visit the Tom Reed for Congress campaign website, and please consider visiting NY 29 in the coming weeks and months, so national attention can be directed towards the incompetence of Governor Paterson, and at the lack of "voting" representation in the Peoples House for over six hundred thousand American citizens.

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