Russ Feingold, one of the most liberal members of the United States Senate, is not exactly beloved in his attempt to achieve reelection in Wisconsin. Wisconsin, a culturally conservative swing state, has sent Feingold to the Senate without massive support in the past. According to a new Rasmussen poll (the most accurate in the business), Feingold only holds a 2% lead over relative unknown Ron Johnson, a businessman.
Even worse is that Feingold does not break 50% even against this non-politician. If President Obama's approval keeps slipping and Democratic turnout crashes, Feingold may see himself tossed from the Senate.
There's still a 10% undecided factor here, but most of these people are probably already acquainted with Feingold. He needs to win them back quickly before Johnson's machine gets into full gear. Considering that undecideds tend to split 2/3 for the challenger in races like this, Feingold would then lose 50.6%-49.4%.... Keep an eye on this one.
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