Who will Indiana vote for in 2012? Not Obama.

President Barack Obama won Indiana by a whopping 28,391 votes in 2008, along with their crucial 11 electoral votes. And he accomplished all of that without winning more than 20% of the counties within the state, and while Governor Mitch Daniels (R) won reelection with over 57% of the vote.

Was Indiana apart of a dramatic political realignment?

Absolutely not.

Indiana might have fallen for Obama's message of "Hope and Change" in 2008, but the Hoosiers are now singing a new tune in 2010: "Coats for Senate". According to a new Rasmussen Reports poll on Indiana's Senate race, Mr.Coats is leading his Democratic opponent by 21%, while Mitch Daniels is enjoying a 65% approval rating.

However, that's not the biggest story out of Indiana. According to that same Rasmussen Reports poll, which documents a Dan Coats' lead and a popular Daniels' in Indiana, President Obama has huge problems with the Hoosier electorate, especially on a personal level - his approval rating is 39%, and his disapproval rating is 60%.

I'm flashing back to the 2004 Presidential Election. You know, when then President George W. Bush won Indiana with 60% of the vote, and Senator John Kerry could only muster a measly 39% of the vote. Those were the days, and it appears our political landscape could once again recapture the magic of Bush Mania.

Indiana (1.04%), North Carolina (0.32%) and Missouri (0.14%) were the three closest states during the last Presidential election. However, after 19 months of President Barack Obama in charge, all three of those states are looking forward to a Republican sweep in 2012.

Thoughts?

Rasmussen Reports - Indiana poll results.

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Coats' leads in Indiana.

Dan Coats was a fine US Senator in the 1990's, a fine Ambassador during Bush's first term, a fine campaigner during Indiana's 2010 Republican Primary, and the people of Indiana believe he'll be a fine US Senator once again, because they support him by a wide margin against his Democratic opponent.

Rasmussen Reports survey of 500 Indiana Voters:

Dan Coats (R) - 51%
Brad Ellsworth (D) - 30%
Unsure/Someone else - 18%

The Conservative revolution has sought out unknown GOP candidates from across the Nation, except for Indiana, which is supporting a Conservative blast from the past - Dan Coats has a ACU lifetime rating of 90%, was and is a consistent supporter of the War on Terrorism, and will restore real representation in Washington for Indiana.

Please support Mr.Coats' campaign and visit his website!

Also, 58% of Indiana Voters disapprove of President Obama, and 58% of Indiana Voters approve of Governor Daniels.

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Is Obama screwed for 2012?

The 2008 United States Presidential Election went like this:

Florida

Obama - 4,282,074 - 50.92% - 27 Electoral Votes.
McCain - 4,045,624 - 48.10% - 0 Electoral Votes.

A recent June 2010 Quinnipiac Poll sampling of 1,133 Floridians:

Obama Job Performance

Disapprove - 54% - 91% of GOP, 50% of Ind, and 14% of Dem.
Approve - 40% - 81% of Dem, 43% of Ind, and 6% of GOP.

President Barack Obama won Florida with a cushion of just 236,000 votes, or by a margin of 1.8 percentage points. And now a recent poll from a respectable polling firm has his numbers in one of the most important states at 40%. For someone who faces the voters again in 29 months; a 40% approval rating is a bad sign of worse things to come.

Imagine if these polling numbers reflect voters from across the Nation? Obama won the state of North Carolina by 14,000 votes; the state of Indiana by 29,000 votes; the state of Nevada by 120,000 votes; the state of Iowa by 140,000 voters; the state of Virginia by 230,00 votes; the state of Ohio by 260,000 votes; and he lost in Missouri by only 4,000 votes.

Losing 10% support in all of the above mentioned states would cause such a overturn of voters that it might not matter who Republicans select to be their Presidential nominee; just as long as a Republican is on the ballot. Period.

Memo to all perspective candidates for the Republican Nomination: All you need to do to win the 2012 Presidential Election is to flip about 1,056,000 votes in the seven above mentioned states, which in turn will result in 98 Electoral Votes going into our column, leaving us the victors in 2012.

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Congressman Burton holds on in Indiana.

Congressman Dan Burton is one of the most Conservative legislators in Washington, but half-a-dozen fellow Republicans believed 28 years of service was more than enough. Leading the charge against Dan Burton was Luke Messer and John McGoff (who challenged Burton last election as well), but the 28 year Washington Veteran survived the challenge, but just barely.

Dan Burton - 29,391 - 30.1%
Luke Messer - 25,117 - 25.8%
John McGoff - 19,069 - 19.5%
Brose McVey - 8,795 - 9.0%
Mike Murphy - 8,576 - 8.8%
Andy Lyons - 3,670 - 3.7%
Ann Adcook - 3,048 - 3.1%
Total votes - 97,666 - 100%

If political commentators and wizkids were shocked by Dan Coats winning the Nomination with just 40% of the vote, what about Congressman Dan Burton, who has a three decades strong and long record of Conservatism, winning the Nomination with just 30% of the vote last night.

Dan Coats winning the Nomination with 40% of the vote is expected, but Dan Burton winning the Nomination with just 30% of the vote is shocking, considering his amazing congressional record. I for one believe this reflects a misguided attitude in some Conservatives - Not all Incumbents and Establishment candidates are bad, or even evil to be honest.

I'm glad Congressman Burton will be heading to Congress for his fifteenth term, even though I believe in Term Limiting Congressmen and Senators alike, this man has represented our values and agenda through four different Administrations. However, Conservative Republican incumbents should research this race closely, because the anti-Washington movement is causing a few good men to be targets of fellow good men, for no good reason.

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Indiana GOP: Coats is Nominee.

Indiana Republicans selected their candidate-of-choice this evening; the former US Senator Dan Coats, who was appointed to the Senate after Dan Quayle was elected Vice-President, but has been retired from public office for 12 years. I hesitated when deciding whether or not to endorse Dan Coats or Marlin Stutzman, but I chickened out and endorsed Don Bates Jr* in the end.

Dan Coats - 187,872 votes.
Marlin Stutzman - 142,749 votes.
John Hostettler - 99,896 votes.
Don Bates Jr - 21,283 votes.
Richard Behney - 20,639 votes.
Total - 472,439 Republican votes.

With the hard fought Primary battle over in Indiana, all Republicans and Conservatives must unite behind Dan Coats in November for one reason or another: Numero Uno being we need nine or ten Democratic seats to flip "Republican" to regain control, and thus power. Some might disagree with Coats on a few issues, but no candidate is perfect, and I would prefer the better of the two evils, instead of the evilest anyday, anytime.

* - I know, I know. I endorsed Don Bates Jr. for United States Senate, even though the man had no chance in hell of winning, but John Adams once declared that voting for who you believe will do the right job is not a wasted vote, unless of course, it is, or something like that.

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Live Coverage of the Indiana Primary Results-- Coats Wins

 We have word from Politico that Dan Coats has won the Indiana GOP Senatorial Primary. With 71.3% of the precincts reporting, Coats comes in a hair under 40%, clearly leading the pack.

Coats 39.9* Winner
Stutzman 30.3
Hostettler 21.5
Bates 4.2
Behney 4.2

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Indiana Republican Primaries on Tuesday.

Indiana Republicans will be selecting their favored candidates across the state on Tuesday; with local Republicans running in all nine of Indiana's congressional districts and several running to replace Evan Bayh in the United States Senate. Conservatives need to know who to support, and I'm here to lend a hand.

Please keep in mind that I'm a Conservative Republican, and that I will endorse a candidate who can win, even if he or she is not a 100% down-the-line Conservative.

Remember to vote on Tuesday in Indiana regardless!

Senatorial Election - Don Bates Jr.
1st congressional district - Rob Pastore.
2nd congressional district - Jackie Walorski.
3rd congressional district - Congressman Mark Souder.
4th congressional district - Todd Rokita.
5th congressional district - Congressman Dan Burton.
6th congressional district - Congressman Mike Pence.
7th congressional district - Wayne Harmon.
8th congressional district - Larry Bucshon
9th congressional district - Mike Sodrel.

The above-mentioned candidates are the best of the best in my opinion: Congressmen, a former Congressman, Soldiers, a Doctor, a State Representative, and a local bank manager are the candidates I believe will win In November and will represent our interests in Washington. Regardles if you agree or disagree with my choices, please remember to vote in the Republican Primary on Tuesday!

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