Graves elected Congressman in Georgia.

Remember that Run-Off election in Georgia? You know that Run-Off election in Georgia's ninth congressional district between Republican State Legislators Tom Graves and Lee Hawkins? To be honest: I almost forgot about that election myself; considering both Candidates; Graves and Hawkins, are damn fine Conservative Republicans.

Thankfully the voters of Georgia's 9th district didn't forget about the election this morning and afternoon; as they just elected much needed backup for Washington Republicans into the House of Representatives; Tom Graves (he replaces Nathan Deal, who resigned as Congressman back in March).

Georgia's 9th district Run-Off election results:

Tom Graves - 22,684 - 56.5%
Lee Hawkins - 17,499 - 43.5%

Congratulations to Congressman Graves.

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Interview with Tom Reed, Republican candidate for Congress.

I just had the pleasure of Interviewing Mayor Tom Reed; the leading Republican candidate in New York's 29th congressional district, the district which Representative Massa "represented" for 14 months. Mr.Reed was the successful Mayor of Corning, New York, and has been fighting in Court and otherwise for a special congressional election to be held for the citizens of New York's 29th district, which is currently vacant. This is interview number number 90 in our interview series.

I hope everyone enjoys the following Interview; as this is a man we need in Washington, along with Congressman King, Congressman Lee, Doug Hoffman, Michel Faulkner, and several other fine Republican candidates for Congress from New York state.

Tim Knight - Mr.Reed, why are you running for the United States House of Representatives?

Tom Reed - Fundamentally it is about my children. I have a 9 year old and an 11 year old. I worry that with the debt load and other irresponsible practices the government is currently engaged in that the American way of life we hold dear will not be there for them and their children.

Tim Knight - Mr.Reed, what is your opinion of Governor Paterson stalling representation to the citizens of New York's 29th congressional district?

Tom Reed - While I am pleased that the Governor has decided to acknowledge the need for residents of the 29th Congressional District to have representation, I am disturbed by the governor's plan of holding the special election on the regular election day. While he claims to be worried about cost and disenfranchisement of military voters, his plan shows these cannot truly be his concerns. If he was worried about cost, why did he skip over primary day in September as a potential day for the special election? If he was concerned about military and other absentee voters why did he come up with a plan that is so convoluted and complex that it will ensure delays in ballot printing and make disenfranchisement MORE likely? I am left to conclude his decision is a political one. Playing games with fundamental constitutional rights, like representation, is wrong. I call on the Governor to stop the games and give the people a choice as soon a possible. Whether it is myself or someone else, the people of this district deserve a voice in Washington.

Tim Knight - Mr.Reed, what is your opinion of the ongoing Korean situation, and could Force be a viable option?

Tom Reed - The use of force is always a last resort. However, whenever we rule out options unilaterally during international crises we only give information to our opponents. Therefore the use of force to protect our allies should remain part of the President's arsenal of options. Of course we hope it won't come to that. Nevertheless, there must be consequences of some nature for North Korean acts of aggression. Sinking of South Korean boats is not a step on the road to peace.

Tim Knight - Mr.Reed, what is your general opinion of National Defense related issues?

Tom Reed - The foremost responsibility of the Federal government is protecting the American public. I support our troops in their efforts in Afghanistan and will stand with them to see that they get the support and resources they need.

Tim Knight - Mr.Reed, as Congressman, what would you do for the American people?

Tom Reed - I hope I would be a strong advocate for the people of my district and a voice in Washington DC for a more limited role of the federal government. I want to be a part of returning this nation to a more private sector based economy. At the end of the day I want to be a part of putting the nation on path of long term economic growth.

Tim Knight - Mr.Reed, can you promise the American people that absolutely no "tickle fights" will occur in your House office if elected?

Tom Reed - Yes. We need to hold our elected officials to high standards of personal behavior. We have seen too many personal scandals in recent years.

Tim Knight - Mr.Reed, how can the average American citizen help your campaign to restore Representation in New York's 29th congressional district?

Tom Reed - Obviously our campaign can always use donations and volunteers. People can sign up to do both at www.TomReedForCongress.com. Regarding the lack of a timely special election. I advise people to contact the governor and make their frustration known. Letters to the editor and talking about the issue with friends are also important. Let your anger be known and get involved.

Republican gains in Hawaii are dramatic.

Hawaii's first congressional district is now in Republican hands, and Washington Democrats are sure to be planning "firing squads" for Colleen Hanabusa and Ed Case; the two Democrats who split the 100,000 Democratic vote, opening the path for Charles Djou, a certified Conservative.

Now I expect most Democrats and Liberals to blame Charles Djou's "victory" on the Democratic split, and on Hawaii's unique special election format. However, that would be a distraction from the real picture: Charles Djou increased Republican votes by more than 75% during a special election.

Don't believe me? Wrap your mind around these statistics:

2008 congressional election

(D) Abercrombie - 154,208 - 70.6%
(R) Steve Tataii - 38,115 - 17.4%
Other/Blank vote - 25,963 - 11.9%

2010 special election

(R) Charles Djou - 67,610 - 39.4%
(D) Democrats - 100,193 - 58.4%
Other/Blank vote - 3,614 - 2.2%

Charles Djou not only benefited from a "Democratic split" between Moderates and Liberals, but he increased the amount of Republican votes in Hawaii's first congressional district by 29,000 votes or by 75%, in a special election. That's a dramatic shift in just 18 months.

If Republicans can increase their vote total by 75% in Hawaii; a well known bastion of Democrat policies (exempting traditional marriage, which Hawaiians feel strongly about) and politicians, than what can Republicans do in Arkansas, North Dakota, Arizona and Nevada; states where Democrats are on the decline?

Congressman Djou's successful campaign increased Republican votes by 75% during a special congressional election, when most voters stay home (54% of registered voters participated in this special election). What will happen across America in November; when the American public declares liberalism dead on review? We can only hope, but I'm optimistic.

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Djou wins in Hawaii.

Hawaii's special congressional election has received little media attention over the past month, but the surprising results from Hawaii's first congressional district this evening could change all that come tomorrow and the week ahead. Its true: Republican Charles Djou has won in the congressional district that President Barack Obama grew up in.

Look out Scott Brown; there's a new "Republican upset kid" coming to Washington. No trucks I'm afraid, but a nice surfboard could work for Mr.Djou; especially along the Potomac. For just one minute I want to suck this victory in, while others across the Blogosphere wonder what in the hell just happened, unlike me, who has actually been following this election for months.

Hawaii Board of Elections:

(R) - Charles Djou - 67,274 - 39.5%
(D) - C. Hanabusa - 52,445 - 30.8%
(D) - Ed Case - 47,012 - 27.6%

Winning in Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district would have been impressive, but winning in Hawaii's 1st congressional district; where only one other Republican has ever been elected to the House of Representatives from, is literally earth shattering, and will provide Congressional Republicans with much appreciated backup.

Finally: A Republican has won in a special congressional election! In none other than Barack Obama's hometown congressional district. Sure, it's true that Hawaii Democrats split their vote; but it doesn't matter - winning is winning, whether it be pretty good or ugly good.

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Primary Day Review - May 18, 2010.

For all Conservative minded individuals; yesterday was pure hell watching the Pennsylvania and Kentucky Primaries, along with that special election in Pennsylvania's 12th district, which in the end proves that voters are still naive. There was little good news, but much heartache:

Kentucky

Rand Paul; the son of Congressman Ron Paul, whom I despise with a passion, defeated the Kentucky Secretary of State Trey Grayson by 80,000 votes last night, receiving the GOP Nomination on a campaign that ran against the GOP platform on National Defense, and on Libertarian beliefs. This nomination will only help the Democrat candidate in November.

I would rather lose this seat in November, than to see this Isolationist dirtbag in Congress, or anywhere near there.

Pennsylvania

Pat Toomey had one definite path to victory: Senator Arlen Specter winning the Democratic Nomination. But that didn't happen last night - Congressman Sestak received the nomination without much problem, and the electoral chances of Pat Toomey are complicated for this November.

Pat Toomey will do a fine job campaigning against Joe Sestak, and with Senator Specter no longer in contention, the Republican vote should go to Toomey's campaign without problem, however, without having the "flip flopping" king of Pennsylvania as his opponent, things will become difficult.

Pennsylvania's 12th district

Mark Critz (D) - 71,684 - 53.4%
Tim Burns (R) - 59,476 - 44.3%
Demo Agoris (L) - 3,142 - 2.3%

Must I say more? Like Doug Hoffman, David Harmer, and James Tedisco before him, Tim Burns has lost with the complete backing of Conservative blogs and organizations. Momentum might be behind Republicans, but I just don't see it yet, especially in a district that John McCain won with ease in 2008.

Arkansas

Good news: Neither Senator Lincoln nor Lt. Governor Bill Halter received enough votes for the Democrat nomination last evening. Forcing the Democratic dogfight to continue for at least a few more weeks.

Great news: Congressman John Boozman was selected as the Republican Nominee with 53% of the vote. He's performing well against both his potential Democratic opponents in general election polls. For Arkansas Republicans this is excellent news, and should be celebrated.

Overall

Kentucky - We're screwed.
Pennsylvania - Tough general election upcoming.
Pennsylvania 12 - Naive Democratic addicts.
Arkansas - Good and Great news.

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BREAKING: Burns Cuts Critz Lead to 8%

Formerly down by 14%, Mark Critz's lead was slashed to 8% over Republican Tim Burns.

And the results look good for Burns:
http://jumpinginpools.blogspot.com/2010/05/results-from-pa-special-election.html

County Precincts M. Critz (Dem) T. Burns (GOP) D. Agoris (Lib) Total 420/597 48,482 53% 40,669 45% 1,950 2% Allegheny 7/7 519 58% 359 40% 23 3% Armstrong 22/41 1,934 43% 2,386 54% 137 3% Cambria 134/140 18,171 57% 13,285 42% 482 2% Fayette 39/77 4,345 61% 2,653 37% 132 2% Greene 44/44 5,164 57% 3,716 41% 224 2% Indiana 9/13 762 41% 1,034 56% 51 3% Somerset 23/26 3,631 49% 3,614 49% 118 2% Washington 36/100 3,700 49% 3,515 46% 349 5% Westmoreland 106/149 10,256 49% 10,107 49% 434 2%

Vote Burns!

Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district will be holding their special election this afternoon and evening; to replace Congressman John Murtha, who passed away earlier this year. Those "Bible thumping, gun clinging, all-american redneck" voters will be choosing between Republican Tim Burns and Democrat Mark Critz, who are tied with one another according to a recent poll.

Despite its' historical record of being a Democratic bastion, Pennsylvania's 12th district voted for Senator McCain in November of 2008; becoming the only district in America to support McCain in 2008, which also supported Kerry in 2004. Not only that, but Tim Burns' campaign has been positively received in the Conservative minded district.

Tim Burns is an all-american, gun clinging, bible thumping, Conservative trumpeting-Republican who has a unique chance of overturning four decades of Democratic rule, such as Scott Brown did in Massachusetts. Tim Burns is not a "flipflop" Democrat like his opponent, he's a consistent man who will consistently stand for the people of his district.

As such; I'm calling on all voters in Pennsylvania's 12th district to support Tim Burns; an honest businessman who will represent his hometown district with pride, and who will provide backup to desperate Washington Republicans who need every single Conservative vote that they can get.

Support Tim Burns!

If you want real Conservative change; then individuals such as Tim Burns, Pat Toomey and Charles Djou must be supported. Doesn't matter where they reside, if Conservatism is on the ballot, they'll win.

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Burns Up by One

 Republican Tim Burns is up by one in the special election race to succeed former Congressman John Murtha, who died earlier this year. Burns leads Democrat Mark Critz in this nailbiter. The poll is PPP, which tends to lean Democratic, so it may be good news for Burns. However, special election electorates are more volatile and unpredictable than regular ones.

Burns: 48%
Critz: 47%

Remember to keep it tuned at JiP for breaking news on tomorrow's races.

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Burns Behind in Murtha's Old Seat Race

Republican Tim Burns, who has made a serious run for John Murtha's old Congressional seat, has fallen behind his Democratic rival, according to a new poll. Burns stunned many with his hard campaigning, placing the seat in play in the upcoming special election. However, a hard primary battle has made it at least somewhat likely that Democrat Mark Critz will win this month.

In addition, Burns is fighting off a challenge for the nomination for the November race, with veteran Bill Russell mounting a serious challenge.

The sprawling district extends from east of Johnstown to the corner of the state in Greene County. Though Democrats hold a registration advantage of more than 2 to 1, the rural district is the only one in the country that voted for Democrat John Kerry in the 2004 presidential election and Republican Sen. John McCain in 2008.

Get ready for fireworks.


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Runoff election to be held in Georgia's 9th district.

Georgia Republicans split their vote six ways in Georgia this afternoon, forcing a runoff election to be held on June 8th, when the top two vote getter's (both Republicans) will square off against one another in a grand southern election. Not only does a runoff election hurt the residents of Georgia's 9th congressional district, but it also hurts Congressional Republicans who need all of the backup they can get.

Georgia 9th District Special Election Results

With 99% of precincts reporting.

Tom Graves (R) - 18,306 - 35.4%
Lee Hawkins (R) - 12,000 - 23.2%
Steve Tarvin (R) - 7,937 - 15.3%
Chris Cates (R) - 6,131 - 11.8%
Mike Freeman (D) - 2,886 - 5.6%
Bill Stephens (R) - 2,083 - 4.0%
Bert Loftman (R) - 1,292 - 2.6%
Eugene Moon (I) - 1,123 - 2.2%

While the election results are stunning (four Republican candidates received more votes than the Democrat), they're also disappointing from this perspective: Lee Hawkins was not elected into Congress during the special election, Georgia's 9th district will remain without representation & Washington Republicans, who need backup, will have to wait several more weeks for a safe seat to finally bring forth another Conservative vote.

On June 8th, 2010; Georgia's 9th congressional district will once again have full representation in the House of Representatives. Now the 40% or so voters who preferred another candidate to Tom Graves and Lee Hawkins must make a decision, and though I support Lee Hawkins, I hope the appropriate decision is reached, whether I be correct or incorrect.

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Special Election in Georgia today.

Author's note: When I wrote this article, I was unaware that Lee Hawkins' chief Primary opponent was also a former member of the Georgia Legislature, I do apologize if I have misled anyone.

Special Election Results.

Georgia's 9th congressional district is holding their special election to replace Congressman Nathan Deal this afternoon. A Republican victory is almost guaranteed, but if none of the half-a-dozen GOP candidates (or the Democrat) capture 50.1% of the vote, a runoff election must be held in June, and a lack of Representation will continue in Congress for both Congressional Republicans, and Georgia's 9th district.

There's only one solution to the impending crisis (we need 178 Republicans in Congress tomorrow, not June, but tomorrow), and that solution is State Senator Lee Hawkins, who is an avowed Conservative Republican that will represent our values and principles in Congress.

Lee Hawkins is a member of the National Rifle Association, and was endorsed by the National Rifle Association when he ran for Georgia State Senate. Mr.Hawkins is also Pro-Life, for the Fair Tax, against big government in all cases, has endorsed a Balanced Budget Amendment to the United States Constitution, and will fight for Georgia Sovereignty if elected to Congress.

Besides for the fact that Mr.Hawkins is an avowed Conservative, he is the only Republican in the race who has previous legislative experience, that will win reelection without Democratic trouble and who will receive a plurality of votes this afternoon, which we need to push into a majority.

With the above mentioned in mind, I am asking that all residents of Georgia's 9th congressional district vote for Lee Hawkins this (polls opened at 7:00 am and will close at 7:00 pm) morning, afternoon and evening, as a real Conservative is on the ballot, and our movement is in dire need of congressional backup in Washington.

Vote Hawkins! A real Conservative for Washington.

Congressman Deal represented Georgia with pride and with honor, a Congressman Hawkins will continue those traits for a long, long time to come.

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Democrats Pull Out of Hawaii Congressional Race

The national Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has come to the realization that the defense of Hawaii-01 is hopeless. The top two Democratic candidates are splitting over 50% of the vote and it appears that the Republican Charles Djou should be able to win in the three-way race.

We interviewed Djou recently if you'd like to take a look at it.

Keep an eye out for the results.


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Georgia special election next Tuesday.

When Congressman Nathan Deal resigned from the United States House of Representatives in March, there was little fanfare or news appeal from traditional media sources or nontraditional new media sources. However, it seems that everyone on the Left and the Right has forgotten about the special election that will be held next Tuesday to replace Mr.Deal.

Half-a-dozen Republican candidates, one Democrat and one Independent are running to replace Congressman Deal next Tuesday, but if none of those candidates receive 50.1% Georgia's special election vote, a runoff election will be held on June 8th, 2010 between the two candidates who receive the highest vote totals.

Considering the interesting electoral dynamics of Georgia, and several other Southern states, it's possible that if a runoff election is held in June, that it could be between two Republicans. Not a situation we want with the general election just five months away, and because we need all of the Republicans we can get into Congress now.

We need another Republican in Congress on May 12th. Not June 8th or June 9th, but May 12th 2010, the day after Georgia's ninth congressional district special election is held. As such, local and national Republicans should gather around and behind the State Senator Lee Hawkins, who's a dedicated Conservative, and will represent our agenda well.

Georgia Republicans: We cannot afford to have a lack of Representatives in Congress, we need a Conservative legislator such as Lee Hawkins on May 12th, not another Republican has the clout or standing that this man has. I'm sure a large portion of votes will go to the other five Republican candidates, but just one deserves election.

Please visit Lee Hawkins campaign website.

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Djou widens lead in Hawaii.

Charles Djou is the man of the hour in Hawaii. When his Republican campaign was launched to replace the resigning Congressman Abercrombie, victory depended on local Republicans uniting around his campaign, and on local Democrats splitting the vote between their two leading candidates.

According to a new poll from Hawaii: Charles Djou is leading the Hawaii special election with 36 percent of the vote, his Democratic counterparts combine their total margins for 50 percent of the vote, and he leads his closest Democratic opponent by eight percentage points. Charles Djou is close to becoming the first federal Republican Representative from Hawaii in two decades.

79% of Republican voters, 42% of Independent voters and 19% of Democratic voters are supporting Charles Djou through Hawaii's unique "mail-in-ballot" special election format. Leaving him with a stronger coalition than he could have ever imagined when his campaign was launched. Victory is almost here and I'm sure Mr.Djou can taste it.

I'll be following this election closely over the next two weeks, and I ask that all registered voters in Hawaii's First Congressional District mail back your ballot in support of Charles Djou, a man who will represent your issues and concerns, not Washington's.

Please support the Djou campaign!

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Prediction: Burns will win.

Republican businessman Tim Burn is running to replace Congressman John Murtha in the United States House of Representatives. A good number of Conservatives are hopeful about another Republican upset in a deep blue district, but if the statistics I presented earlier this morning are accurate: Tim Burns should win a close, close election.

As stated earlier this morning: Five special congressional elections were held in 2009, using information from four of them, an average of 59% of Republicans and just 42% of Democrats from November of 2008 returned to support their perspective candidate during the 2009 special elections; if all voters were down the line. Let's just assume for a little while.

Congressman Murtha was reelected with 155,268 votes in November of 2008, while William Russell, his strongest opponent in decades, received 113,120 votes, or about 40% of the vote. Now we know that Murtha was destined for an even closer 2010 election, that the President receives low marks from Murtha's longheld district, and that the Republican candidate has the early edge, but what does all of that mean without examining statistics.

Let us assume that all Murtha voters will support the Democratic nominee and that all Russell voters will support the Republican nominee during the special election in a few weeks, leaving this election to be a battle of enthusiasm and turnout. Assuming 42% of Murtha supporters and 59% of Russell supporters vote in a few weeks, Tim Burns will win, by just 1,529 votes.

To be exact: Tim Burns will receive 66,741 votes and Mark Critz will receive 65,212, assuming that all Murtha and Russell voters will vote the same, and that the Libertarian candidate does not screw things up for Conservatives. I know that this model is unpredictable and unlikely, but if Murtha and Russell voters are 100% behind the line supporters of their respective parties, than Burns will need 17% more of Russell's voting bloc to turnout again.

I guarantee Tim Burns will win, by how much we shall see, but please keep my prediction in mind as well as the Return Vote Average, which I should trademark before someone steals my idea.

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Republicans returned in 2009, what about 2010?

Five special congressional elections were held last year: From California's 10th district to Illinois' 5th district to New York's 23rd district. All five of the special elections were won by Democrats, but Republicans had a higher "return voting" percentage, which could indicate a few close special elections within the next few weeks.

California's 10th congressional district

2008 - Democrat candidate: 192,226. Republican candidate: 91,877.
2009 - Democrat candidate: 72,817. Republican candidate: 59,017.
Return Vote - Democrat line: 37.9%. Republican line: 62.2%.

Illinois' 5th congressional district

2008 - Democrat candidate: 170,728. Republican candidate: 50,881.
2009 - Democrat candidate: 30,561. Republican candidate: 10,622.
Return Vote - Democrat line: 17.9%. Republican line: 20.9%.

New York's 20th congressional district

2008 - Democrat candidate: 177,677. Republican candidate: 109,644.
2009 - Democrat candidate: 80,833. Republican candidate: 80,107.
Return Vote - Democrat line: 45.5%. Republican line: 73%.

New York's 23rd congressional district

2008 - Republican candidate: 129,991. Democrat candidate: 69,112.
2009 - Republican candidates: 78,135. Democrat candidate: 73,137.
Return Vote - Republican lines: 78%. Democrat line: 106%.

Total United States Average (based on districts mentioned)

2008 - Democrat candidates: 609,753. Republican candidates: 382,323.
2009 - Democrat candidates: 257,348. Republican candidates: 227,881.
Return Vote - Democrat line: 42%. Republican line: 59%.

59% of Republican voters (assuming all voters voted the same) returned during the 2009 special elections in California, Illinois, and New York, but only 42% of Democratic voters returned in 2010, even in steadfast Democratic districts; our Republican candidates increased their margins.

If the national "Return Vote" average remains the same in Hawaii and Pennsylvania this month, or the "Return Vote" margin remains the same, we could be looking at a Congressman Djou from Hawaii and a Congressman Burns from Pennsylvania. Turnout and politics could play a factor and my statistics are far from Biblical acceptance, but they prove one thing: Republicans are looking at a good year.

Our candidates are pumped. Our voters are out there. Our onceheld districts, could be ours once again.

Thoughts?

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GOP Leads in Murtha Seat Polls

The Hill is reporting that the GOP has taken the lead in two polls entering the final three weeks before the special election to fill former Congressman John Murtha's seat in Pennsylvania. According to Research 2000, which conducted the poll for the Daily Kos, Republican Tim Burns leads Democrat Mark Critz by six points. And the situation seems to be improving:

The Research 2000 poll for the liberal website Daily Kos has businessman Tim Burns (R) leading former Murtha aide Mark Critz 46-40. It's the biggest lead yet for Burns, who edged Critz 44-41 in a recent Public Policy Polling (D)survey.

President Obama's approval rating stands at a paltry 38% in the district while his disapproval is at 55%. The election in on Tuesday, May 18th-- the same day as some important Pennsylvania primaries.

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Letter to the citizens of Hawaii.

To the citizens of Hawaii's first congressional district:

Aloha.

I must first admit something: I am not a citizen of Hawaii, I have never visited Hawaii, and I have no relations in Hawaii, but I am a fellow American citizen who has been following your special election with great interest. Your special election will not only impact Hawaii's political foundations, but it could shake up the entire United States House of Representatives.

When it was first announced that Congressman Abercrombie was stepping down, I was optimistic and hopeful for whomever the eventual Republican nominee would be. But, when I read into the political record of Councilman Djou, he won me over on a silver platter, because this man is not just a fine Republican, but he's also a fine Representative.

Whether it be in the Hawaii House of Representatives or the Honolulu City Council; Charles Djou has fought for his fellow citizens. Mr.Djou has fought political and social corruption, something he feels very strongly about. Mr.Djou would also be someone quite unique in America's Democratic controlled Congress - an Independent thinker.

Charles Djou doesn't pander for votes, he has remained committed to his principles and values through out this entire election. Such as his firm commitment to traditional marriage between one man and one woman. Unlike his two opponents, who both accept the homosexual notion of marriage in one way or another.

With all of the above in mind: I ask that the citizens of Hawaii, who will soon receive their mail-in-ballots, vote for Charles Djou, a man of the Hawaiian people. He will stand strong in Congress for our common values, and he will legislate as an Independent thinker, who will fight for a better and stronger Hawaii and America.

- A Concerned Conservative.

Please support Djou at - http://www.djou.com/

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