It is hard to believe election day is just 15 months, while most expect the House of Representatives to lose a lot of seats to the Republican party, the United States Senate is shaping the 2010 elections to be very long indeed. We have as of now, 36 Senate elections for the 2010 elections, it could change, pending on whether or not Senator Hutchison resigns as Senator of Texas to run for Governor.
Currently, 18 Republican seats & 18 Democrat seats will be up for grabs in the 2010 elections, as always....there are a majority of seats we can instantly rule out of contention, that leaves us with several crucial elections :
Delaware Senate seat - No strong Democrat contender, two Republicans with good bases.
California Senate seat - Boxer only leads a Republican candidate by just 5% points.
Nevada Senate seat - residents of Nevada do not like Reid, however no strong Republicans as of now.
Colorado Senate seat - Colorado is still a GOP leaning state, the current Senator is new & liberal, Republicans could win.
Pennsylvania Senate seat - Toomey is virtually tied with Specter, and leads the other possible Democrat in the race.
Connecticut Senate seat - It keeps getting worse for Dodd, and the Republicans just have to sit pretty.
Illinois Senate seat - Voters are sick & tired of Democrats in Illinois, and the Republicans have some strong candidates.
Kentucky Senate seat - Voters did not like Senator Bunning, Senator Bunning has officially announced he will retire, and Republicans will hold the seat again.
Missouri Senate seat - Senator Bond is retiring, this is expected to be a tough election between the Republican Congressman & the Democrat Secretary of State.
New Hampshire Senate seat - Senator Gregg is retiring, the state Attorney General will be challenging a Democrat Congressman, the Republicans are expected to hold this seat.
Ohio Senate seat - Not much to say, both Democrats & the lone Republican front runner are all virtually tied with one another in various polls.
My predictions :
Republicans - will retain 16 seats as of now, gain 3 (Illinois, Connecticut, Pennsylvania) seats as of now.
Democrats - will retain 15 seats as of now, gain 1 (Missouri) seat as of now.
Tossup - 1 seat, the Ohio Senate seat.
In otherwords - the 2010 Senate elections are a potential goldmine for the Republican party, however.......they must run with strong Conservative candidates, they must run on principles, and they must expose the Democrats for what they really are.
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