Word is leaking out that former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is considering a run for the New York State's governorship. If he does, he can expect my full support. However, he may be making the wrong move politically.
Consider the next race coming up next year in New York. Current junior Senator Kirsten Gillebrand may face a stiff challenge from fellow Democrats for the nomination. She is seen as too conservative for many of the New York City elite... and worse for them, she's from Upstate.
Giuliani would likely face off against Andrew Cuomo if he ran for Governor. Cuomo, the son of former Governor Mario Cuomo is the current Attorney General. Cuomo's approval rating stands above 60% recently and made headlines by pushing for an investigation of disgraced former Governor Eliot Spitzer.
Polls place Cuomo ahead of the former Mayor. However, Giuliani may be better able to use his political capital challenging Gillebrand. Assuming she survives the primaries, Giuliani can use his former position for pull with the New York City voters. He can say that he knows what it's like to run a major city and can state that his views on issues like gay marriage are authentic, unlike Gillebrand's perceived waffling.
Gillebrand is also a lightweight as far as a resume is concerned. Just elected to the House in 2006 and appointed to the Senate this year, Giuliani can argue that his long record as Mayor and prosecutor shows that he is up for the job.
Giuliani has a major shot of winning the Senate seat next year. Unless Cuomo gets involved in a scandal or loses in the primaries, Giuliani might lose by fifteen percent.
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