According to my research, Republicans in the state of New York can win in at least seven congressional districts, and could win in at least one other congressional district. A far cry from controlling just two congressional seats in a state where Republicans can rebound, if we can reclaim our own districts first.
New York's first congressional district -
Congressman Tim Bishop (D) is the elected representative of this congressional district, which has 24,000 more Republicans then Democrats, however, Bishop has not faced a real Republican challenger since 2004, and defeated the Republican last election with 162,000 votes, annoying because between Republicans and Conservatives they have 164,000 voters.
New York's third congressional district -
Congressman Peter King (R) is the elected representative of this congressional district, which has 39,000 more Republicans then Democrats, this registration advantage has helped Congressman King win congressional districts with near 75,000 more votes then his Democratic opponents.
New York's nineteenth congressional district -
Congressman John Hall (D) is the elected representative of this congressional district, which has just 2,000 more Democrats then Republicans, however, the district strongly supported Bush during his two Presidential runs, and Obama was barely able to take the district. While Hall was able to win by 48,000 votes during the 2008 congressional elections, he potentially could be challenged by popular Republican Assemblyman Greg Ball, and he has been targeted for his vote in favor of the stimulus legislation, he is also a member of the Congressional Progressive Caucus.
New York's twentieth congressional district -
Congressman Scott Murphy (D) is the elected representative of this congressional district, which has 63,000 more Republicans then Democrats, however, the district has trended leftward in recent years, and Murphy was able to pull off a close win in a special congressional election held earlier this year. Republicans are expected to target this seat, especially after Murphy has supported the unpopular, job killing "cap & trade" legislation.
New York's twenty-third congressional district -
Congressman Bill Owens (D) is the elected representative of this congressional district, which has 44,000 more Republicans then Democrats, and was recently in the middle of a bitter special congressional election. Owens has already broke numerous campaign promises to the voters, voted in favor of nationalized health care, and Republicans are expected to take this seat back in 2010.
New York's twenty-fourth congressional district -
Congressman Mike Acuri (D) is the elected representative of this congressional district, which has 24,000 more Republicans then Democrats, though Acuri was able to defeat the Republican last election with 130,000 votes (Republicans have 150,000 voters in this district), compared to 120,000 votes, his margin of victory is 8,000 votes shorter then in the 2006 congressional elections. If Republicans can field a strong candidate, highlight Acuri's liberal voting record, and get out all of the vote, they can take this seat back.
New York's twenty-fifth congressional district -
Congressman Dan Maffei (D) is the elected representative of this congressional district, which has 200 more Republicans then Democrats, though not a lot, still a majority never the less. Maffei was able to claim victory with 157,000 votes last election, however, if a strong Republican candidate arises who can gain support from the Independence Party of New York, an interesting election could ensue.
New York's twenty-sixth congressional district -
Congressman Chris Lee (R) is the elected representative of this congressional district, which has 28,000 more Republicans then Democrats, it has showed with Congressman Lee who claimed victory by 40,000 votes last election.
New York's twenty-ninth congressional district -
Congressman Eric Massa (D) is the elected representative of this congressional district, which has 44,000 more Republicans then Democrats, however, Massa was able to defeat the incumbent Republican with 140,000 votes (or 5,000 more then the Republican), interesting considering Republicans have 165,000 voters in this congressional district. Corning Mayor, Tom Reed, has announced his intention to seek the Republican nomination.
Republicans hold electoral advantages in seven districts, however, Republicans have only two elected Representatives in the House of Representatives at this time. What is the reason for this political travesty?
1.Republicans need stronger candidates, such as Assemblyman Greg Ball, and Corning Mayor Tom Reed who could help reclaim two seats next election.
2.Republicans need to get their voters out to the damn polls, to have 165,000 Republican voters, and receive 135,000 votes is embarrassing! We need Republican voters who come out only for the Presidential elections, to know Congressional elections are just as important, if not more important.
3.Republicans need grassroots! Period.
We can win numerous districts in New York next year, however, we will need to work damn hard. We cannot just hope for anti-Obama feelings to ride on, we need to find great candidates, get our voters out to the polls, and take back New York, one congressional district at a time.
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