You don't have to believe me, but I would ask that you read into these electoral results for the last four Parliamentary elections:
1997 - Major Two Parties = 73.9% of the vote.
Labour - 418 seats - 43.2% of the vote.
Conservative - 165 seats - 30.7% of the vote.
Liberal Dems - 46 seats - 16.8% of the vote.
Other - 30 seats - 9.3% of the vote.
2001 - Major Two Parties = 72.4% of the vote.
Labour - 413 seats - 40.7% of the vote.
Conservative - 166 seats - 31.7% of the vote.
Liberal Dems - 52 seats - 18.2% of the vote.
Other - 28 seats - 9.3% of the vote.
2005 - Major Two Parties = 67.6% of the vote.
Labour - 356 seats - 35.2% of the vote.
Conservative - 198 seats - 32.4% of the vote.
Liberal Dems - 62 seats - 22.0% of the vote.
Other - 31 seats - 10.6% of the vote.
2010 - Major Two Parties = 65.1% of the vote.
Conservative - 306 seats - 36.1% of the vote.
Labour - 258 seats - 29.0% of the vote
Liberal Dems - 57 seats - 23.0% of the vote.
Other - 29 seats - 11.9% of the vote.
What do the above mentioned electoral results tell you?
1. England is evolving into a Three-Party political system; which will result in more coalition governments, unstable governance, and ultimate political power for the Liberal Democrats & Nick Clegg (at least for the moment).
2. Other political parties (most of which are sectionalist parties; Scottish National Party, Sinn Fein, etc.) are increasing their "vote percentages" across Great Britain, which one day could result in a Islamic Party that carries significant political capital.
3. The kingmakers of government could soon be controlled by either rightwing or leftwing loons, unless the Major Two Parties neutralize them through (rightwing or leftwing) non-government coalitions, or dissolve the fringe political parties into their mainstream parties.
What can Conservatives do to capitalize from this Two-Party system downfall?
1. Govern as promised for the next four or five years; win back the trust of English voters.
2. Deal with Britain's awful economic problems first; solve what needs to be solved.
3. Dissolve the UK Independence Party into their own; Right-Of-Center unity.
I fear for the future of Great Britain; but I have great hope in the current Prime Minister and in British Conservatives that a solution to the Nation's declining Two-Party system can be resolved without significant damage.
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5 comments:
Unfortunately, if Clegg's idea of proportional balloting happens, it will lead to more instability
That's for sure. UK Conservatives must regain their status as a top political party; before Labour is toppled and they have to deal with a competing LD.
Just what is so great about two parties?
Look where two parties have gotten you.
So many people in denial about the state of western countries finances. They buy this nonsense that 'it's not too late to do something'.
It is too late. Bond markets are going to implode. Not tomorow. Within ten years max. It'll be a whole new world.
1. political parties is the basis for Western political society - two opposing mainstream beliefs, instead of 3, 4, 5, or even 6 "fringe" leanings.
2. the two parties? It's usually the left-of-center party, Sir.
3. That's because something can be done; as long as someone is willing to do what is neccessary.
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