Toomey 46 -- Specter 43 -- Und 11
Toomey 42 -- Sestak 36 -- Und 22
Specter's job rating is in perilous territory for an incumbent -- 34 percent approve while 52 percent disapprove. President Obama also is in negative territory, with 46 percent approving and 50 percent disapproving. Forty-two percent of Pennsylvanians say they support the Obama health care plan while 49 percent oppose it. And 49 percent support a position held by Toomey -- that Republicans should work to repeal the bill; 44 percent say no.
Pennsylvania inexplicably backed President Obama in 2008 and it looks like he would be a drag on the ticket. I wouldn't be all that surprised, though, if Specter somehow pulls it off.
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